The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Avai v Goiás

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 22:02 UTC

Final: Avai 0–2 Goiás

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Avai (Local)

Prediction 41.13%2.43fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.36%41.13%41.00%42.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.252.3547.62%44.91%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Goiás (Visit)

Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.353%
Kelly -0.500%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.51%29.02%29.15%30.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.163.153.4035.71%31.66%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.81%3.35fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.68%29.84%29.85%31.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.50%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avai (Local): 41.13%; Goiás (Visit): 29.06%; Draw: 29.81%. For Goiás (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.58%E -1.97%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.07%E -2.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -4.58%E -1.97%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.07%E -2.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.29%EV -8.77%E -2.87%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 21:59
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.40%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 22:00
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.63%EV -7.05%E -3.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -6.09%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:59
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 22:00
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 22:00
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.09%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 22:00
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.11%E -0.957%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 21:46
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 21:57
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.07%E -2.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 21:59
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.07%E -2.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.07%E -2.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 21:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 21:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.07%E -2.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 22:00
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 21:59
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 21:59
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -13.54%E -4.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 21:59
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -18.64%E -6.66%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -16.53%E -5.90%K -9.18%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-24 21:56
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.09%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 22:00
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 21:59
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.60%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 22:00
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 21:58
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -10.34%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -6.09%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 22:00
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.86%EV -10.75%E -4.95%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 22:00
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.58%E -2.45%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 22:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 22:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -11.57%E -5.38%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -1.20%E -0.353%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.05%E -4.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-24 22:00
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -10.56%E -3.52%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-24 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%0.4%2026-05-24 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-24 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.36%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-05-24 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-05-24 22:00
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-05-24 22:00