Язык:Русский
Avai v Fortaleza
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Avai (Хозяева)
Прогноз 37.53%2.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.18%
Преимущество -1.23%
Kelly -2.01%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.58
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.38%37.39%37.56%38.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.472.452.5843.48%40.49%40.82%38.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Fortaleza (Гости)
Прогноз 31.90%3.13справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.74%
Преимущество -0.566%
Kelly -0.839%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.08
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.90%32.02%31.89%34.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.862.903.0838.02%34.96%34.48%32.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 30.57%3.27справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.92%
Преимущество -1.58%
Kelly -2.33%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.11
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.65%30.59%30.55%31.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.013.003.1136.36%33.26%33.33%32.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Avai (Хозяева): 37.53%; Fortaleza (Гости): 31.90%; Ничья: 30.57%. Для исхода «Fortaleza (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.13. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.08, математическое ожидание — -1.74%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.23%EV -3.18%E -1.23%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.62%EV -11.31%E -4.07%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.66%EV -3.55%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 17:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.77%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -1.74%E -0.566%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.97%EV -4.92%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -15.46%E -5.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.30%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -2.70%E -0.886%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -2.70%E -0.886%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.76%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.93%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.42%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.21%EV -9.20%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -6.93%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -6.76%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -6.85%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 17:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -6.85%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -8.81%E -3.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -8.81%E -3.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 21:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -8.81%E -3.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -8.81%E -3.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 18:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.10%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.66%EV -16.10%E -6.12%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.24%EV -15.93%E -5.79%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 21:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |