Idioma:Español
Avai v Fortaleza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Avai (Local)
Predicción 37.53%2.66momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.38%37.39%37.56%38.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.452.5843.48%40.49%40.82%38.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fortaleza (Visitante)
Predicción 31.90%3.13momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.566%
Kelly -0.839%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.90%32.02%31.89%34.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.862.903.0838.02%34.96%34.48%32.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.57%3.27momio equitativo
EV -4.92%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.65%30.59%30.55%31.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.003.1136.36%33.26%33.33%32.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Avai (Local): 37.53%; Fortaleza (Visitante): 31.90%; Empate: 30.57%. Para Fortaleza (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.13. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.08, con un valor esperado de -1.74%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.23%EV -3.18%E -1.23%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.62%EV -11.31%E -4.07%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.66%EV -3.55%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 17:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.77%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -1.74%E -0.566%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.97%EV -4.92%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -15.46%E -5.83%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.30%E -1.43%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -2.70%E -0.886%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -2.70%E -0.886%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.76%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.12%E -2.82%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.93%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.42%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.21%EV -9.20%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.08%EV -6.93%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -6.76%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -6.85%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 17:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -6.85%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.89%E -2.00%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.08%E -3.19%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -8.81%E -3.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -8.81%E -3.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 21:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -8.81%E -3.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.15%EV -8.81%E -3.62%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-10 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.49%E -2.58%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.27%E -4.46%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-10 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 18:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.10%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.66%EV -16.10%E -6.12%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.24%EV -15.93%E -5.79%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.68%E -3.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.34%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 18:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.56% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 21:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |