Language:English
Avai v Ceará
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avai (Local)
Prediction 40.18%2.49fair odd
EV +0.440%
Edge +0.176%
Kelly +0.293%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.15%39.96%40.27%40.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.302.5045.45%42.75%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ceará (Visit)
Prediction 28.78%3.47fair odd
EV +0.460%
Edge +0.132%
Kelly +0.185%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%29.00%28.74%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.113.123.4936.36%32.20%32.05%28.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.04%3.22fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.10%31.04%30.99%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.983.1135.71%33.71%33.61%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avai (Local): 40.18%; Ceará (Visit): 28.78%; Draw: 31.04%. For Ceará (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.460%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV +0.440%E +0.176%K +0.293%G +0.001% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -16.52%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV +0.440%E +0.176%K +0.293%G +0.001% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -16.52%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV +0.440%E +0.176%K +0.293%G +0.001% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -16.52%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV +0.440%E +0.176%K +0.293%G +0.001% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -16.52%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV +0.440%E +0.176%K +0.293%G +0.001% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -16.52%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV +0.440%E +0.176%K +0.293%G +0.001% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -16.52%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV +0.440%E +0.176%K +0.293%G +0.001% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -16.52%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -2.37%E -0.976%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -17.10%E -5.94%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.85%EV -3.18%E -1.32%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.57%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.49%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -3.58%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -19.40%E -6.93%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -3.58%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -19.40%E -6.93%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -3.58%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -19.40%E -6.93%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -3.58%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -19.40%E -6.93%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.43%EV -4.38%E -1.84%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.64%EV -3.28%E -0.977%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.94%EV -3.47%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -4.38%E -1.84%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -20.84%E -7.58%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -16.52%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -6.79%E -2.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -6.79%E -2.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -6.79%E -2.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 12:11 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.01%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 12:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.60%E -3.30%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.84%EV -8.00%E -3.49%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.80%EV +0.460%E +0.132%K +0.185%G +0.001% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -10.30%E -3.56%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.13%EV -8.00%E -3.49%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -8.40%E -3.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -8.40%E -3.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -11.54%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -8.40%E -3.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -11.54%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.60%E -4.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.96%EV -8.46%E -2.66%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.10%EV -5.02%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.60%E -4.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-03 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.60%E -4.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.33%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.05%EV -9.60%E -4.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.88%EV -10.19%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.05%EV -9.60%E -4.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.88%EV -10.19%E -3.27%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.60%E -4.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -10.77%E -3.47%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.61%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.61%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -6.45%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.61%E -5.28%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-03 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.61% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70% | 1.7% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |