Language:English
Avai v Atletico Goianiense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avai (Local)
Prediction 32.81%3.05fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%32.99%32.73%35.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.752.802.9540.32%36.42%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Goianiense (Visit)
Prediction 36.13%2.77fair odd
EV -0.643%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.367%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.59%35.98%36.19%37.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.582.602.7540.82%38.70%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.06%3.22fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.22%31.04%31.08%32.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.94%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avai (Local): 32.81%; Atletico Goianiense (Visit): 36.13%; Draw: 31.06%. For Atletico Goianiense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.643%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.08%EV -3.53%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -4.34%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.38%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -7.87%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -9.68%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.51%E -1.91%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.68%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.99%EV -10.04%E -4.03%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.63%EV -7.15%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.07%EV -7.51%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.63%EV -7.15%E -2.53%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.07%EV -7.51%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.68%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.68%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.68%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.68%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.68%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.87%E -3.09%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.68%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.68%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -9.68%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.643%E -0.234%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.643%E -0.234%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.643%E -0.234%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.643%E -0.234%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.643%E -0.234%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.643%E -0.234%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.643%E -0.234%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -13.05%E -4.93%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -0.643%E -0.234%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -2.45%E -0.907%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -14.69%E -5.65%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -16.33%E -6.41%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.09%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.00%EV -16.33%E -6.41%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -4.26%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -11.48%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.22%EV -18.63%E -7.51%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.59%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.22%EV -18.63%E -7.51%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.59%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.40% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |