Language:English
Atletico Goianiense v Sport Recife
Head to Head
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prediction 50.38%1.98fair odd
EV -7.30%
Edge -3.97%
Kelly -8.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.25%50.38%50.38%50.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.811.831.8456.82%55.32%54.64%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sport Recife (Visit)
Prediction 22.80%4.39fair odd
EV -6.53%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.64%22.80%22.80%22.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.034.104.1025.64%24.83%24.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.82%3.73fair odd
EV -6.13%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.55%26.82%26.82%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.423.503.5030.30%29.28%28.57%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 50.38%; Sport Recife (Visit): 22.80%; Draw: 26.82%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -6.13%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.65%EV -7.30%E -3.97%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.53%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 19:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.53%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.53%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.53%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.53%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.53%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.53%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.81%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.25%EV -10.32%E -5.80%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.25%EV -10.32%E -5.80%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.25%EV -10.32%E -5.80%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -9.95%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.25%EV -10.82%E -6.12%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.09%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.39%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -11.09%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.