Language:English
Atletico Goianiense v Sport Recife
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prediction 52.76%1.90fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -5.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.51%52.91%52.68%55.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.731.8161.73%57.85%57.80%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sport Recife (Visit)
Prediction 21.17%4.72fair odd
EV +0.554%
Edge +0.117%
Kelly +0.148%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.21%21.05%21.27%22.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.404.404.7525.00%22.72%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -0.907%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.07%26.04%26.06%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.503.7429.85%28.53%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 52.76%; Sport Recife (Visit): 21.17%; Draw: 26.07%. For Sport Recife (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.554%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -9.78%E -5.72%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +0.554%E +0.117%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -9.78%E -5.72%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +0.554%E +0.117%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -9.78%E -5.72%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +0.554%E +0.117%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -9.78%E -5.72%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +0.554%E +0.117%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -9.78%E -5.72%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +0.554%E +0.117%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -9.78%E -5.72%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +0.554%E +0.117%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -9.78%E -5.72%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +0.554%E +0.117%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.72%EV -14.53%E -8.97%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -0.505%E -0.107%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.59%EV -5.56%E -3.11%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.76%EV -2.20%E -0.476%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.20%E -4.71%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.62%E -0.570%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.20%E -4.71%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.62%E -0.570%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -11.37%E -6.77%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -2.62%E -0.570%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.98%EV -4.51%E -2.49%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.17%EV -4.10%E -0.906%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.85%EV -3.27%E -0.881%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.57%EV -6.09%E -3.42%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.70%EV -4.32%E -0.955%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 19:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.67%E -4.39%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -7.67%E -4.39%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.85%EV -12.42%E -7.48%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.85%EV -12.42%E -7.48%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.86%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.00%EV -12.95%E -7.85%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -4.74%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.86%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -4.83%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.62%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.86%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 19:03 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.03%EV -8.20%E -4.71%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.86%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.67%E -4.39%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.86%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.66%EV -9.78%E -5.72%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -6.86%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.67%E -4.39%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -6.86%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.67%E -4.39%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -6.86%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.31%E -6.07%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.86%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.51%EV -9.26%E -5.38%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -6.86%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -12.66%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.75%EV -12.95%E -7.85%K -19.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -6.86%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -14.01%E -8.59%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -6.86%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.66%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.89%EV -8.20%E -4.71%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.34%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 25.85%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -8.20%E -4.71%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -10.03%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.53%E -0.954%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.04%E -2.80%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.53%E -0.954%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -6.62%E -3.74%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.14%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -8.20%E -4.71%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -8.74%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.67%E -4.39%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.67%E -4.39%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.67%E -4.39%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.67%E -4.39%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 18:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 13:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-11 13:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.31%E -6.07%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.09%E -2.64%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 18:48 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.32%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.32%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.32%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -8.73%E -5.05%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -15.32%E -3.83%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.35%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.12% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 19:05 |