Language:English
Atletico Goianiense v Goiás
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prediction 40.33%2.48fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.66%40.30%40.26%43.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.252.4147.62%44.12%44.44%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goiás (Visit)
Prediction 27.89%3.59fair odd
EV -0.166%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.064%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%27.90%27.89%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.5833.33%30.07%29.85%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.78%3.15fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%31.79%31.85%33.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.902.903.0536.36%34.44%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 40.33%; Goiás (Visit): 27.89%; Draw: 31.78%. For Goiás (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.58, with an expected value of -0.166%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.98%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.91%EV -0.166%E -0.046%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.11%EV -7.52%E -2.59%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%EV -3.20%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.13%EV -9.75%E -3.43%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%EV -3.20%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.13%EV -9.75%E -3.43%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%EV -3.20%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.13%EV -9.75%E -3.43%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.00%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -12.61%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.00%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -12.61%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.00%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -12.61%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -4.00%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -12.61%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 07:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.55%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 07:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.16%EV -11.65%E -4.19%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 18:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.55%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-28 11:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -12.61%E -4.58%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -16.34%E -5.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.04%E -3.53%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -7.21%E -2.47%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.04%E -3.53%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -7.21%E -2.47%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 14:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.58%EV -8.84%E -3.91%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.82%EV -12.99%E -4.16%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -3.07%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-30 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -4.66%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.07%EV -12.88%E -5.96%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.25%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -13.28%E -6.18%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.48%E -2.94%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.90%EV -13.68%E -6.39%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.90%EV -13.68%E -6.39%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.90%EV -13.68%E -6.39%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -15.30%E -7.28%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -2.40%E -0.685%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.84%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 18:20 |