The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Atletico Goianiense v Cuiabá

2026-11-14 19:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Prediction 64.83%1.54fair odd
EV -5.99%
Edge -4.13%
Kelly -13.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.49%64.77%65.09%65.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.421.4573.53%70.59%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cuiabá (Visit)

Prediction 12.61%7.93fair odd
EV +0.908%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.130%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.44%12.61%12.46%14.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.267.008.0015.38%13.77%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.55%4.43fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.74%22.62%22.46%23.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.024.004.2526.67%24.88%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 64.83%; Cuiabá (Visit): 12.61%; Draw: 22.55%. For Cuiabá (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.93. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.908%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -9.23%E -6.60%K -23.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV +0.908%E +0.113%K +0.130%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-09 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.23%E -6.60%K -23.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV +0.908%E +0.113%K +0.130%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.78%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -9.23%E -6.60%K -23.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +0.908%E +0.113%K +0.130%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -10.91%E -2.76%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-09 19:24
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -9.23%E -6.60%K -23.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +0.908%E +0.113%K +0.130%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -10.91%E -2.76%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-09 19:25
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.22%EV -7.94%E -5.59%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -4.14%E -0.544%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-09 17:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.77%EV -9.88%E -7.11%K -25.34%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.85%EV -4.14%E -0.544%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 19:33
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -7.29%E -5.10%K -16.95%G +0.000%7.53I 13.28%NM 12.39%EV -5.02%E -0.667%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.37%EV -5.95%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -7.29%E -5.10%K -16.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -5.40%E -0.720%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.27%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.28%EV -8.59%E -6.09%K -20.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -5.40%E -0.720%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 17:10
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%EV -7.94%E -5.59%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -8.55%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.99%E -4.13%K -13.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.27%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -7.94%E -5.59%K -18.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.14%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-09 19:44
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.29%E -5.10%K -16.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 11:33
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -6.64%E -4.61%K -15.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.04%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 11:34
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -6.64%E -4.61%K -15.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.04%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -6.64%E -4.61%K -15.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.04%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.49%EV -6.64%E -4.61%K -15.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -12.04%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 11:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.56%EV -9.23%E -6.60%K -23.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.42%E -4.11%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-09 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.74%EV -7.29%E -5.10%K -16.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -18.01%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-09 11:43
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.23%E -6.60%K -23.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -18.01%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.78%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-09 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.19%EV -11.83%E -8.70%K -32.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -18.01%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.38%EV -12.04%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-11-09 17:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 63.95%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%16.7%2026-11-09 19:25

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