L’École des cotes

Atletico Goianiense v Avai

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 23:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Prévision 48.26%2.07cote équitable
EV -5.41%
Avantage -2.76%
Kelly -5.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%48.26%48.24%51.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.881.881.9656.50%53.16%53.33%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Avai (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.34%4.28cote équitable
EV +2.70%
Avantage +0.613%
Kelly +0.793%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.40%23.28%23.33%25.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.054.004.4027.78%24.71%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.40%3.52cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.48%28.46%28.42%30.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.4033.33%30.81%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 01:29
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 01:30
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 01:30
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 01:30
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 01:30
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 01:29
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 01:30
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV +1.53%E +0.352%K +0.457%G +0.007%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:30
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -10.23%E -5.50%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV +1.06%E +0.245%K +0.319%G +0.003%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 02:34
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -12.65%E -6.99%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV +0.362%E +0.084%K +0.110%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -13.13%E -7.29%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -0.805%E -0.189%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 01:29
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 50.93%EV -13.61%E -7.60%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.45%EV -0.805%E -0.189%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-24 01:29
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -14.58%E -8.24%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -1.97%E -0.469%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -14.58%E -8.24%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -1.97%E -0.469%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 01:29
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -14.58%E -8.24%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -1.97%E -0.469%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 01:30
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.25%EV -5.41%E -2.76%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.73%EV -2.91%E -0.698%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.01%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 03:19
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -6.86%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -4.31%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -8.56%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:09
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.34%E -3.82%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -5.47%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 03:24
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:14
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 23:34
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.86%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:45
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 08:40
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 08:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 23:34
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.80%E -4.93%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 03:19
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.80%E -4.93%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 03:19
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.80%E -4.93%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 03:19
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.80%E -4.93%K -7.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 03:20
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.34%E -3.82%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -7.81%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 04:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.34%E -3.82%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -7.81%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 04:34
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:43
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 23:55
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 10:55
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 13:04
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 15:40
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -10.14%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 04:34
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-20 20:14
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-20 20:29
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.86%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 03:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -6.86%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -15.98%E -4.44%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 16:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 47.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.83%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.78%16.6%2026-04-23 04:35