La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Atletico Goianiense v Avai
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Predicción 48.26%2.07momio equitativo
EV -5.41%
Ventaja -2.76%
Kelly -5.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.75%48.26%48.24%51.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.881.881.9656.50%53.16%53.33%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Avai (Visitante)
Predicción 23.34%4.28momio equitativo
EV +2.70%
Ventaja +0.613%
Kelly +0.793%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.40%23.28%23.33%25.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.054.004.4027.78%24.71%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.40%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.48%28.46%28.42%30.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.4033.33%30.81%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 01:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV +2.70%E +0.613%K +0.793%G +0.021% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV +1.53%E +0.352%K +0.457%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -3.44%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.17%EV -10.23%E -5.50%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV +1.06%E +0.245%K +0.319%G +0.003% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 02:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -12.65%E -6.99%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV +0.362%E +0.084%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -13.13%E -7.29%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -0.805%E -0.189%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-24 01:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.93%EV -13.61%E -7.60%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.45%EV -0.805%E -0.189%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-24 01:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -14.58%E -8.24%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -1.97%E -0.469%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -14.58%E -8.24%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -1.97%E -0.469%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-24 01:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.86%EV -14.58%E -8.24%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -1.97%E -0.469%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.25%EV -5.41%E -2.76%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.73%EV -2.91%E -0.698%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.01%EV -7.42%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 03:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -6.86%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -4.31%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.95%EV -8.56%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Bovada | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.34%E -3.82%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -5.47%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 03:24 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.86%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 08:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.80%E -4.93%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 03:19 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.80%E -4.93%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 03:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.80%E -4.93%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 03:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.80%E -4.93%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 03:20 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.34%E -3.82%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -7.81%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 04:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.34%E -3.82%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -7.81%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 04:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 16:43 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 23:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 10:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -9.75%E -5.21%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -7.70%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 15:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -10.14%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.54%E -3.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 04:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.82%E -4.09%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.28%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 16:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.68%E -6.38%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-20 20:14 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -8.30%E -4.37%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-20 20:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.86%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.96%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 03:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:05 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.72%E -5.79%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.47%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -6.86%E -3.55%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -15.98%E -4.44%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.12%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 16:13 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.83% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.78% | 16.6% | 2026-04-23 04:35 |