Language:English
Atletico Goianiense v América Mineiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prediction 69.38%1.44fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -3.62%
Kelly -13.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.33%69.54%69.37%72.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.331.331.3780.00%75.37%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América Mineiro (Visit)
Prediction 11.42%8.75fair odd
EV +5.66%
Edge +0.612%
Kelly +0.686%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 9.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.14%11.39%11.45%13.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.088.009.2515.38%12.38%12.50%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.20%5.21fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.332%
Kelly +0.410%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.33%19.08%19.18%21.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.744.755.3023.53%21.09%21.05%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 69.38%; América Mineiro (Visit): 11.42%; Draw: 19.20%. For América Mineiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.75. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -9.81%E -7.55%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.14%EV +5.66%E +0.612%K +0.686%G +0.039% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +1.76%E +0.332%K +0.410%G +0.007% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 18:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.29%EV -7.03%E -5.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 9.18I 10.89%NM 10.41%EV +4.86%E +0.529%K +0.594%G +0.029% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.30%EV +0.226%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -7.03%E -5.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +2.80%E +0.311%K +0.350%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -7.03%E -5.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +2.80%E +0.311%K +0.350%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -7.03%E -5.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +2.80%E +0.311%K +0.350%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -7.03%E -5.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +2.80%E +0.311%K +0.350%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -7.03%E -5.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +2.80%E +0.311%K +0.350%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -7.03%E -5.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +2.80%E +0.311%K +0.350%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -7.03%E -5.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +2.80%E +0.311%K +0.350%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.11%EV -10.50%E -8.14%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +2.80%E +0.311%K +0.350%G +0.010% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +1.76%E +0.332%K +0.410%G +0.007% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -6.34%E -4.70%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -2.91%E -0.342%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -7.03%E -5.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -2.91%E -0.342%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.81%E -7.55%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.91%E -0.342%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.08%EV -13.28%E -10.62%K -53.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -2.91%E -0.342%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -0.158%E -0.030%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -13.28%E -10.62%K -53.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -2.91%E -0.342%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.21%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.12%EV -4.05%E -0.482%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.94%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.07%EV -4.05%E -0.482%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.96%EV -8.42%E -6.38%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.19%EV -5.76%E -0.699%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -5.92%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 18:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -6.34%E -4.70%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.00%E -0.800%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.98%EV -7.03%E -5.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.34%E -4.70%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -9.12%E -6.96%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.87%EV -8.42%E -6.38%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.81%E -7.55%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.81%E -7.55%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.81%E -7.55%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.81%E -7.55%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -10.50%E -8.14%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -10.50%E -8.14%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -8.62%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.32%EV -4.95%E -3.62%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 7.93I 12.61%NM 11.80%EV -9.42%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.87%EV -9.57%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.08%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -10.91%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.08%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -10.91%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.68%EV -7.03%E -5.25%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.95%EV -12.05%E -1.56%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.39%EV -5.65%E -4.15%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.24%EV -13.19%E -1.74%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.05%EV -13.19%E -1.74%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.84%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.61%EV -5.65%E -4.15%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -14.33%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -18.40%E -4.33%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -14.33%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.59%EV -7.73%E -5.81%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -14.33%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -15.52%E -3.53%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.81%E -7.55%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -14.33%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -8.80%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.42%EV -5.65%E -4.15%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -17.19%E -2.37%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -11.68%E -2.54%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.34%E -4.70%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -25.75%E -3.96%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-03 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.34%E -4.70%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -25.75%E -3.96%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-03 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.34%E -4.70%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -25.75%E -3.96%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-03 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -6.34%E -4.70%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -25.75%E -3.96%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.60%E -3.02%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-03 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.09% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.09% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.09% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 18:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.09% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.87% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 18:55 |