Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atletico Goianiense v América Mineiro

2026-10-03 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Prediction 62.54%1.60fair odd
EV -8.07%
Edge -5.49%
Kelly -17.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.44%62.54%62.54%63.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.451.471.4770.42%68.86%68.03%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

América Mineiro (Visit)

Prediction 14.51%6.89fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.307%
Kelly -0.360%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.82%14.51%14.51%14.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.106.506.756.7516.39%15.39%14.81%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.96%4.36fair odd
EV -5.88%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.75%22.96%22.96%23.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.014.104.1025.97%24.95%24.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 62.54%; América Mineiro (Visit): 14.51%; Draw: 22.96%. For América Mineiro (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.75, with an expected value of -2.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.44%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -2.07%E -0.307%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.88%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.44%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -2.07%E -0.307%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.88%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 10:08
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.44%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -2.07%E -0.307%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.88%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 10:08
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.44%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -2.07%E -0.307%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.88%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 10:09
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.44%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -2.07%E -0.307%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.88%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 10:08
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.44%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -2.07%E -0.307%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.88%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.44%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -2.07%E -0.307%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.88%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 10:09
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.54%EV -9.32%E -6.43%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -9.32%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-22 10:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.47%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-22 10:08
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.47%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-22 10:09
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -10.47%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-22 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.46%EV -10.57%E -7.39%K -24.59%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -11.50%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.47%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-22 10:09
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.44%EV -11.20%E -7.89%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.53%EV -11.50%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -11.62%E -3.02%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-22 10:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.