La scuola delle quote

Athletic Club (MG) v Ponte Preta

Inizio: 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (Casa)

Previsione 50.21%1.99quota equa
EV -4.59%
Vantaggio -2.42%
Kelly -5.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.85%50.15%50.47%51.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.841.831.9055.56%54.30%54.64%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ponte Preta (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.01%4.76quota equa
EV -4.59%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.51%21.08%20.75%22.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.364.404.5426.67%22.94%22.73%22.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.77%3.48quota equa
EV -4.48%
Vantaggio -1.35%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.94%28.77%28.78%30.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.153.203.3236.36%31.76%31.25%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.74%EV -5.09%E -2.70%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:30
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:29
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:30
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:30
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 18:55
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.64%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 20:50
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 18:30
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -8.59%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 18:29
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.01%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-20 05:35
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-20 05:34
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -8.59%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-05 18:30
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -6.48%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 04:10
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -6.48%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 04:09
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.51%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-05 18:29
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.51%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-05 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.51%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-05 18:30
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.44%EV -9.11%E -5.03%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.51%EV -4.59%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.05%EV -4.48%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 22:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 17:50
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:50
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.85%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.49%EV -21.19%E -5.65%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -20.88%E -7.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%18.6%2026-02-20 05:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.