L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Athletic Club (MG) v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prévision 50.21%1.99cote équitable
EV -4.59%
Avantage -2.42%
Kelly -5.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.85%50.15%50.47%51.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.841.831.9055.56%54.30%54.64%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.01%4.76cote équitable
EV -4.59%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.51%21.08%20.75%22.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.364.404.5426.67%22.94%22.73%22.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.77%3.48cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.94%28.77%28.78%30.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.153.203.3236.36%31.76%31.25%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (27 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.74%EV -5.09%E -2.70%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:30 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:29 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.64%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 18:30 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -8.59%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.01%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-20 05:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -8.59%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -6.48%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 04:10 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -6.48%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 04:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.51%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-05 18:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.51%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-05 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.51%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-05 18:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.44%EV -9.11%E -5.03%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.51%EV -4.59%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.05%EV -4.48%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.85%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.49%EV -21.19%E -5.65%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -20.88%E -7.59%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-02-20 05:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.