Language:English
Athletic Club (MG) v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prediction 47.84%2.09fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.91%47.97%50.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.941.952.0056.50%51.64%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 24.19%4.13fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.317%
Kelly -0.420%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%24.16%24.10%25.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.743.804.0828.99%26.71%26.32%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.97%3.58fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.730%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.52%27.92%27.93%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.203.5132.26%30.74%31.25%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletic Club (MG) (Local): 47.84%; Londrina (Visit): 24.19%; Draw: 27.97%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.08, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.71%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.71%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.71%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.71%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.71%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.71%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.71%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.05%EV -6.24%E -3.18%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.56%EV -1.29%E -0.317%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.39%EV -1.83%E -0.522%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-13 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -6.24%E -3.18%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -12.91%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.11%E -0.604%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-13 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-13 22:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-13 22:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-13 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-13 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -11.90%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-13 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -11.90%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-13 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.91%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-13 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-13 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-13 22:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-13 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-13 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.55%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -3.51%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 20:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.55%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -3.51%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.03%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -14.12%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -11.90%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-13 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -7.67%E -3.97%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-13 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -7.67%E -3.97%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -14.12%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -11.90%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-13 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -7.67%E -3.97%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.90%E -3.78%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.13%EV -8.15%E -4.24%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-13 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.11%E -0.604%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-13 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.71%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-13 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.76%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-13 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-13 21:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.22%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -16.53%E -4.79%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-13 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.66%EV -9.58%E -5.07%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-13 22:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.66%EV -9.58%E -5.07%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-13 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.54%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.71%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-13 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -10.54%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -15.32%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-13 21:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.81%EV -11.02%E -5.92%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.10%EV -2.99%E -0.745%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -4.35%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 21:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -15.32%E -8.66%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-13 21:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47% | 0.4% | 2026-10-13 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47% | 0.4% | 2026-10-13 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.36% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.47% | 0.4% | 2026-10-13 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-10-13 22:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-10-13 22:20 |