Language:English
Athletic Club (MG) v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prediction 38.74%2.58fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.80%38.84%38.74%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.382.5445.45%42.06%42.02%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)
Prediction 30.58%3.27fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.548%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.25%30.57%30.52%32.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.983.003.2336.36%33.56%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.68%3.26fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.58%30.60%30.74%31.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.882.983.003.1534.72%33.53%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletic Club (MG) (Local): 38.74%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 30.58%; Draw: 30.68%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.23, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.80%EV -1.59%E -0.627%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.35%EV -11.62%E -4.02%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%EV -7.05%E -2.33%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 21:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.78%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 22:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.78%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 22:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.78%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.78%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.78%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 22:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.78%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -3.92%E -1.58%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.78%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -5.08%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 22:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-20 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.46%EV -5.47%E -2.24%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-20 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.62%EV -5.85%E -2.41%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.81%EV -1.22%E -0.378%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -3.37%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -5.85%E -2.41%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.86%EV -12.84%E -4.51%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -3.37%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 22:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -7.02%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -11.31%E -3.90%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 22:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 22:23 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.64%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.37%E -5.13%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-20 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -14.37%E -5.13%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-20 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -7.79%E -3.27%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -14.37%E -5.13%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -8.18%E -3.45%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -12.23%E -4.26%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 22:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-20 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 22:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.78%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-20 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.37%E -5.13%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.45%EV -9.34%E -3.99%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -5.20%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-20 22:23 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.65%EV -9.73%E -4.18%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -15.90%E -5.78%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.46%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.65%EV -9.73%E -4.18%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -15.90%E -5.78%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.46%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -10.89%E -4.73%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -2.14%E -0.668%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 22:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.89%E -4.73%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-20 04:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.89%E -4.73%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.93%E -4.14%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.97%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 04:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.89%E -4.73%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.89%E -4.73%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.83%E -5.70%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.04%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -14.76%E -6.71%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -2.14%E -0.668%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-20 22:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.55% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14% | 0.3% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05% | 2.2% | 2026-08-20 22:25 |