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América Mineiro v Operario PR
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 33.48%2.99fair odd
EV +0.434%
Edge +0.145%
Kelly +0.217%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.12%33.45%33.43%35.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.762.753.0038.17%36.20%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Operario PR (Visit)
Prediction 38.80%2.58fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -0.948%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.76%38.90%38.89%40.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.372.5446.51%42.44%42.19%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.73%3.61fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +0.553%
Kelly +0.759%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 3.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.14%27.65%27.68%28.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.6832.26%30.53%30.30%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América Mineiro (Local): 33.48%; Operario PR (Visit): 38.80%; Draw: 27.73%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%EV -6.93%E -2.49%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.26%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.14%EV +2.03%E +0.553%K +0.759%G +0.015% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.96%E -0.845%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.26%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.34%EV -6.50%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -2.96%E -0.845%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 21:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.73%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.73%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.73%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.73%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -14.65%E -6.66%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -5.73%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.32%EV -9.22%E -3.94%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.22%EV -6.28%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.38%EV -8.27%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.08%EV -1.46%E -0.575%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.38%EV -8.27%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.08%EV -1.46%E -0.575%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.38%EV -8.27%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.08%EV -1.46%E -0.575%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV +0.434%E +0.145%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.24%E -0.420%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -10.00%E -4.31%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.24%E -0.420%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -10.00%E -4.31%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.24%E -0.420%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -10.00%E -4.31%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.24%E -0.420%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -10.00%E -4.31%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.24%E -0.420%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -10.00%E -4.31%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -1.24%E -0.420%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -10.00%E -4.31%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 21:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -11.95%E -4.54%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 21:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 21:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.26%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.59%EV -8.06%E -3.40%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -11.28%E -4.26%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.45%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.62%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.93%EV -10.44%E -3.23%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -11.27%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -2.91%E -1.00%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.27%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.27%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.27%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -16.59%E -7.72%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -11.27%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-17 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -13.49%E -6.05%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -13.49%E -6.05%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -13.49%E -6.05%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -14.65%E -6.66%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.87%EV -13.49%E -4.32%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-17 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.76%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.06%EV -15.43%E -7.08%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.88% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.79% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33% | 0.2% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.88% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.79% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33% | 0.2% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.20% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.63% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.42% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.7% | 2026-10-17 21:25 |