Language:English
América Mineiro v Juventude
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 23.40%4.27fair odd
EV -0.535%
Edge -0.126%
Kelly -0.164%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.53%23.29%23.42%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.983.954.2527.78%25.15%25.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juventude (Visit)
Prediction 48.38%2.07fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.68%48.53%48.39%51.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.881.871.9956.50%53.05%53.48%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.22%3.54fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.938%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.21%28.18%28.19%29.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.253.4332.26%30.74%30.77%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América Mineiro (Local): 23.40%; Juventude (Visit): 48.38%; Draw: 28.22%. For América Mineiro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -0.535%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -0.535%E -0.126%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -0.535%E -0.126%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -0.535%E -0.126%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.04%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.70%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.70%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.70%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.70%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.70%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.70%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.70%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 22:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -1.70%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.45%EV -7.17%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 22:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -1.70%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -14.37%E -8.12%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-28 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.76%EV -5.45%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.25%EV -3.72%E -1.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.99%EV -3.22%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-28 22:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-28 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -6.14%E -3.17%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-28 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-28 22:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-28 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -11.47%E -6.27%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-28 22:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.96%E -3.83%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-28 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -11.96%E -3.83%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-28 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-28 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -12.43%E -6.87%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-28 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -12.43%E -6.87%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-28 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -7.56%E -1.91%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -12.43%E -6.87%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-28 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.35%EV -7.79%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.22%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.89%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -6.63%E -3.43%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-28 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-28 22:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.79%EV -7.11%E -3.70%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-28 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-28 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-28 22:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-28 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-28 22:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-28 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -12.92%E -7.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-28 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.55%EV -13.40%E -7.49%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-28 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -6.63%E -3.43%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-28 22:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -9.05%E -4.81%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.12%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-28 22:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.06%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-28 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -5.66%E -2.90%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-28 22:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.59%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-28 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-28 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-28 22:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.50%E -5.67%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-28 22:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -8.08%E -4.25%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.71%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-28 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.74%EV -9.53%E -5.10%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.30%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-28 22:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 1.4% | 2026-09-28 22:25 |