La scuola delle quote

América Mineiro v Atletico Goianiense

Inizio: 2026-06-08 23:00 UTC

Finale: América Mineiro 1–2 Atletico Goianiense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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42 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

América Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 39.18%2.55quota equa
EV -4.78%
Vantaggio -1.97%
Kelly -3.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.26%39.10%39.24%40.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.282.362.372.4343.86%42.42%42.28%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Goianiense (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.33%3.41quota equa
EV -1.17%
Vantaggio -0.348%
Kelly -0.495%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.58%29.45%29.24%31.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.123.153.3734.48%32.02%31.75%29.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.49%3.18quota equa
EV -4.58%
Vantaggio -1.51%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.52%31.44%31.52%32.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.902.913.0336.36%34.45%34.36%33.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.63%EV -4.78%E -1.97%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.58%EV -1.17%E -0.348%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -4.58%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-08 22:49
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.86%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.69%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 22:39
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.86%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.69%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 22:39
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.86%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.69%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 22:40
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.22%E -0.977%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:39
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:48
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:49
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 22:49
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-08 22:39
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 22:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-08 22:40
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-08 22:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 22:49
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 22:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-08 22:49
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 22:40
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-08 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -14.96%E -5.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-08 22:29
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -9.09%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-08 22:49
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 38.65%EV -9.09%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-08 22:49
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-08 22:39
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-08 22:38
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-08 22:39
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:39
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:39
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-08 22:40
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-08 22:40
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:49
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -10.66%E -4.68%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -13.49%E -4.57%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-08 22:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-08 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.4%2026-06-08 22:49
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.39%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%2.6%2026-06-08 22:49