La escuela de los momios

América Mineiro v Atletico Goianiense

Inicio: 2026-06-08 23:00 UTC

Final: América Mineiro 1–2 Atletico Goianiense

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

América Mineiro (Local)

Predicción 39.18%2.55momio equitativo
EV -4.78%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -3.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.26%39.10%39.24%40.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.362.372.4343.86%42.42%42.28%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atletico Goianiense (Visitante)

Predicción 29.33%3.41momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.348%
Kelly -0.495%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.58%29.45%29.24%31.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.123.153.3734.48%32.02%31.75%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.49%3.18momio equitativo
EV -4.58%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.52%31.44%31.52%32.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.902.913.0336.36%34.45%34.36%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.63%EV -4.78%E -1.97%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.58%EV -1.17%E -0.348%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -4.58%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-08 22:49
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.86%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.69%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 22:39
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.86%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.69%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 22:39
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.86%EV -5.18%E -2.14%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.69%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 22:40
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.22%E -0.977%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:39
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:48
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 22:49
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-08 22:49
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 22:49
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-08 22:39
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 22:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-08 22:40
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-08 22:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.74%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 22:49
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -8.05%E -2.76%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-08 22:49
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-08 22:49
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -5.53%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 22:40
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-08 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -14.96%E -5.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-08 22:29
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -9.09%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-08 22:49
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 38.65%EV -9.09%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -10.25%E -3.60%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:49
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-08 22:49
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.68%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-08 22:39
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-08 22:38
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.10%E -2.41%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-08 22:39
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:39
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:39
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.31%E -3.23%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-08 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-08 22:40
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.62%E -3.35%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-08 22:40
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.83%E -4.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-08 22:49
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -10.66%E -4.68%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -13.49%E -4.57%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.40%E -4.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-08 22:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-08 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%1.3%2026-06-08 22:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.15%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.4%2026-06-08 22:49
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.39%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%2.6%2026-06-08 22:49