默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vitoria v Vasco da Gama

开赛时间: 2026-07-22 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vitoria (主队)

预测 38.69%2.58公平赔率
EV -4.04%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -2.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.48

博彩公司预测分布
37.58%38.63%38.69%39.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.352.412.4846.51%42.50%41.49%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

Vasco da Gama (客队)

预测 32.13%3.11公平赔率
EV -3.60%
优势 -1.20%
Kelly -1.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
31.33%32.11%32.13%33.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.822.873.0039.22%35.42%34.84%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.17%3.43公平赔率
EV -3.73%
优势 -1.13%
Kelly -1.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
27.94%29.26%29.17%30.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.703.093.103.3037.04%32.36%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Vitoria (主队):38.69%;Vasco da Gama (客队):32.13%;平局:29.17%。 对于“Vasco da Gama (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.11。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.00,期望值为-3.60%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.71%EV -4.04%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.11%EV -3.92%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.18%EV -4.03%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 14:47
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -7.78%E -2.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 14:49
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.42%E -2.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.73%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 14:48
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 14:50
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 14:50
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.20%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -3.60%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.74%EV -6.75%E -2.80%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.08%EV -6.49%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-05 14:48
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -7.91%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -6.81%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-05 14:50
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -7.91%E -3.32%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -11.63%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-05 14:49
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -11.00%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -15.49%E -5.89%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-05 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.37%EV -14.87%E -6.76%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -14.85%E -5.60%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.4%2026-06-05 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.82%EV -14.87%E -6.76%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.23%EV -14.85%E -5.60%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.95%EV -13.94%E -4.73%K -7.15%G +0.000%17.1%2026-06-05 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.58%EV -14.87%E -6.76%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.80%EV -16.45%E -6.33%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.62%EV -21.24%E -7.87%K -12.49%G +0.000%21.0%2026-06-05 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.37%EV -16.81%E -7.82%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.94%EV -14.85%E -5.60%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.69%EV -13.94%E -4.73%K -7.15%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-05 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.88%EV -16.81%E -7.82%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.78%EV -18.06%E -7.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.34%EV -13.94%E -4.73%K -7.15%G +0.000%19.6%2026-06-05 14:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。