L’École des cotes

Vitoria v Internacional

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 20:00 UTC

Score final : Vitoria 2–0 Internacional

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vitoria (Local)

Prévision 32.90%3.04cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.434%
Kelly -0.651%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.51%32.90%32.92%34.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.842.853.0037.74%35.25%35.09%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Internacional (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.69%2.73cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.621%
Kelly -0.991%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.48%36.70%36.66%38.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.512.502.6843.48%39.83%40.00%37.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.41%3.29cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.361%
Kelly -0.521%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.30%30.40%30.43%31.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.073.103.2537.04%32.58%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -1.30%E -0.434%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 19:49
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -1.30%E -0.434%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 19:49
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.53%EV -1.96%E -0.658%K -0.990%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.99%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.48%EV -3.30%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 19:49
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -2.95%E -0.999%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.12%EV -4.52%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 12:19
Coolbet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -3.93%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -3.50%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 19:28
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -3.93%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.02%EV -5.70%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.40%EV -4.82%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 19:19
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -3.93%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.02%EV -5.70%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.40%EV -4.82%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 19:19
BetAnything2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -3.93%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.02%EV -5.70%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.40%EV -4.82%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 19:19
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.11%EV -1.66%E -0.621%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 19:39
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 19:49
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 19:29
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 19:49
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.93%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 19:09
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.65%EV -6.07%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:48
BetUS2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.65%EV -6.07%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -7.54%E -2.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 19:49
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -7.54%E -2.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 19:49
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -6.80%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.17%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 19:49
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 19:49
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 19:49
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 19:49
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 19:49
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -5.58%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.89%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 19:49
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 19:39
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 19:09
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 19:49
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 19:49
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -10.84%E -4.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 19:49
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.29%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.69%E -0.841%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 19:39
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.94%E -4.97%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 19:49
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.94%E -4.97%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 19:49
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -2.77%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 19:49
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 19:49
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 19:49
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 19:49
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 19:49
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 19:09
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 19:10
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -12.67%E -5.32%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 19:49
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -12.67%E -5.32%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 19:49
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.65%EV -10.19%E -3.73%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -12.67%E -5.32%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.91%EV -9.38%E -3.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 19:32
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:39
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 19:40
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -12.42%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.51%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.99%EV -15.61%E -6.79%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.51%EV -17.90%E -6.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-23 19:19
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -12.82%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -13.77%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.62%EV -12.82%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%EV -15.61%E -6.79%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-23 19:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.01%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%0.1%2026-05-23 19:10
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.44%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%2.4%2026-05-23 19:49