La escuela de los momios

Vitoria v Internacional

Inicio: 2026-05-23 20:00 UTC

Final: Vitoria 2–0 Internacional

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vitoria (Local)

Predicción 32.90%3.04momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.434%
Kelly -0.651%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.51%32.90%32.92%34.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.842.853.0037.74%35.25%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Internacional (Visitante)

Predicción 36.69%2.73momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.621%
Kelly -0.991%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.48%36.70%36.66%38.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.502.6843.48%39.83%40.00%37.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.41%3.29momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.361%
Kelly -0.521%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.30%30.40%30.43%31.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.073.103.2537.04%32.58%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -1.30%E -0.434%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 19:49
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -1.30%E -0.434%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV -1.17%E -0.361%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 19:49
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.53%EV -1.96%E -0.658%K -0.990%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.99%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.48%EV -3.30%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 19:49
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -2.95%E -0.999%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.12%EV -4.52%E -1.44%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 12:19
Coolbet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.60%EV -3.93%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -3.50%E -1.33%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 19:28
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -3.93%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.02%EV -5.70%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.40%EV -4.82%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 19:19
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -3.93%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.02%EV -5.70%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.40%EV -4.82%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 19:19
BetAnything2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -3.93%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.02%EV -5.70%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.40%EV -4.82%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 19:19
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.11%EV -1.66%E -0.621%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.53%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 19:39
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.00%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 19:49
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 19:29
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -4.59%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 19:49
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.93%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 19:09
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.65%EV -6.07%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:48
BetUS2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.65%EV -6.07%E -2.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -7.54%E -2.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 19:49
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -7.54%E -2.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 19:49
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -6.80%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.17%E -2.70%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 19:49
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 19:49
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 19:49
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 19:49
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.25%E -1.82%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 19:49
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.77%EV -5.58%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.89%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 19:49
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 19:39
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 19:09
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 19:49
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 19:49
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -10.84%E -4.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 19:49
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.24%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.29%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.69%E -0.841%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 19:39
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.94%E -4.97%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 19:49
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.94%E -4.97%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.88%E -2.82%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 19:49
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -2.77%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 19:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 19:49
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 19:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 19:49
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.60%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 19:49
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 19:49
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 19:49
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -4.21%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 19:09
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 19:10
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -12.67%E -5.32%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 19:49
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.53%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.80%EV -12.67%E -5.32%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -7.25%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 19:49
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.65%EV -10.19%E -3.73%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.45%EV -12.67%E -5.32%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.91%EV -9.38%E -3.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 19:32
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.73%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:39
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.27%E -3.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 19:40
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -12.42%E -4.31%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.51%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.99%EV -15.61%E -6.79%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.51%EV -17.90%E -6.63%K -10.53%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-23 19:19
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -12.82%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -13.77%E -5.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -8.77%E -2.92%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.62%EV -12.82%E -4.84%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%EV -15.61%E -6.79%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -11.82%E -4.07%K -6.22%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-23 19:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.01%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%0.1%2026-05-23 19:10
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%1.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.44%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%2.4%2026-05-23 19:49