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Vitoria v Fluminense

2026-11-06 23:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vitoria (Local)

Prediction 31.29%3.20fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.99%31.08%31.29%31.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.973.003.1035.71%33.63%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fluminense (Visit)

Prediction 40.73%2.46fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.25%40.76%40.73%42.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.212.252.3850.25%45.24%44.54%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.98%3.57fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.16%27.98%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.173.4033.33%31.27%31.50%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vitoria (Local): 31.29%; Fluminense (Visit): 40.73%; Draw: 27.98%. For Vitoria (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -3.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.00%E -0.969%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 19:45
picklebet_au🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.00%E -0.969%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.45%E -3.27%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 19:45
MyBookie.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -3.63%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -8.77%E -3.92%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -9.33%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 19:50
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -9.05%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 19:45
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.88%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.28%EV -3.07%E -1.29%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 19:45
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 19:49
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.85%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 19:47
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 19:45
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.54%EV -7.70%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.27%EV -5.92%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.65%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 19:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 28.99%EV -7.70%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 42.97%EV -18.95%E -9.53%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.04%EV -14.65%E -4.80%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-25 19:45
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.05%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 19:48
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.78%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.72%EV -15.70%E -7.58%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.50%EV -15.21%E -5.02%K -7.49%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-25 19:48
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -14.48%E -6.89%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.85%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-25 19:45
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -12.44%E -5.79%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -16.05%E -5.35%K -8.02%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-25 20:16
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -14.48%E -6.89%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.25%E -4.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-25 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 30.85%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.50%7.0%2026-10-26 00:50