Language:English
Vitoria v Chapecoense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vitoria (Local)
Prediction 55.93%1.79fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -5.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.68%55.96%55.94%57.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.661.671.7264.52%60.18%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chapecoense (Visit)
Prediction 19.57%5.11fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.337%
Kelly +0.417%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.38%19.51%19.55%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.774.755.2023.26%20.96%21.05%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.50%4.08fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.499%
Kelly -0.665%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%24.53%24.51%25.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.804.0028.57%26.61%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vitoria (Local): 55.93%; Chapecoense (Visit): 19.57%; Draw: 24.50%. For Chapecoense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.11. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.48%EV +1.75%E +0.337%K +0.417%G +0.007% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.22%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 01:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.48%EV +1.75%E +0.337%K +0.417%G +0.007% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.22%E -0.815%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 01:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.80%EV -0.204%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.78%EV -5.18%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -0.204%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.20%EV -3.47%E -0.880%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -0.204%E -0.040%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.20%EV -3.47%E -0.880%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.72%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 18.91%EV -1.38%E -0.273%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -4.20%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 05:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.16%E -0.432%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 08:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.16%E -0.432%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 08:58 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.16%E -0.432%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -2.16%E -0.432%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.39%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.80%EV -3.14%E -0.634%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 12:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 01:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 01:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 01:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 01:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 01:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 01:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -4.12%E -0.840%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 10:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.35%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.17%EV -5.10%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 10:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.92%EV -5.10%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.60%EV -5.88%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.62%EV -6.16%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -6.07%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 13:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.07%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.07%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 10:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.98%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.07%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.07%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 10:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -6.07%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.00%E -0.499%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 10:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.89%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -4.45%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 03:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.05%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -8.03%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.68%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -8.03%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-02 07:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -8.83%E -5.42%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -8.03%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-22 01:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.91%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -8.03%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-22 01:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.91%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -8.03%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-22 01:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.91%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -8.03%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.82%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-22 01:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -9.95%E -6.18%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -8.03%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-22 00:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -9.95%E -6.18%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -8.03%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-22 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-25 06:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-25 06:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-25 06:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-25 06:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.94%EV -9.95%E -6.18%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -9.99%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.48%EV -9.84%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 06:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.94%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 06:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.94%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -11.94%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-04 07:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -13.31%E -8.59%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.41%EV -11.94%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.80%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -9.39%E -5.80%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -13.90%E -3.16%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-05 02:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -15.27%E -3.53%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -14.25%E -4.07%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 10:57 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.42%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -15.86%E -3.69%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -9.35%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-05 02:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.19% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.70% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.11% | 1.7% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61% | 11.3% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 66.95% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 14.16% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 18.88% | 35.8% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |