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Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vitoria (Local)
Prediction 39.44%2.54fair odd
EV +4.51%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +2.73%
Growth +0.123%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.31%39.21%39.54%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.402.402.6547.62%41.59%41.67%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Paranaense (Visit)
Prediction 32.58%3.07fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.428%
Kelly -0.638%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.17%32.76%32.59%34.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.812.803.0339.22%35.63%35.71%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.748%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.07%28.02%27.86%29.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.303.4832.79%30.45%30.30%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vitoria (Local): 39.44%; Atletico Paranaense (Visit): 32.58%; Draw: 27.99%. For Vitoria (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.91%EV +4.51%E +1.70%K +2.73%G +0.123% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.32%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-10-24 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.91%EV +4.51%E +1.70%K +2.73%G +0.123% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.32%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-10-24 18:48 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +0.563%E +0.221%K +0.363%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +0.563%E +0.221%K +0.363%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +0.563%E +0.221%K +0.363%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +0.563%E +0.221%K +0.363%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 18:48 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +0.563%E +0.221%K +0.363%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.24%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.10%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -1.41%E -0.563%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 19:11 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -1.41%E -0.563%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -13.67%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-24 18:31 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -1.41%E -0.563%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.64%EV -14.33%E -5.45%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-24 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -2.20%E -0.886%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -14.33%E -5.45%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-24 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -2.20%E -0.886%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -14.33%E -5.45%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-24 18:48 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -2.20%E -0.886%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -14.33%E -5.45%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.84%E -3.76%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-24 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%EV -2.20%E -0.886%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -15.30%E -5.89%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-24 18:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.19%EV -7.81%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-24 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.37%EV -4.17%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -16.93%E -6.64%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -14.64%E -4.80%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-24 18:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.15%EV -4.96%E -2.06%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -1.62%E -0.537%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.81%EV -2.60%E -0.748%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-24 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -1.30%E -0.428%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.85%EV -2.88%E -0.831%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -1.30%E -0.428%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.85%EV -2.88%E -0.831%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.26%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.89%EV -1.30%E -0.428%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.85%EV -2.88%E -0.831%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -2.27%E -0.758%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-24 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.74%EV -7.49%E -2.64%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.52%EV -8.76%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-24 18:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-24 19:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-24 19:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.83%EV -6.54%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -7.32%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -7.32%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 19:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -7.32%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.32%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-24 19:17 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.32%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -7.32%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -13.67%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.51%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -8.51%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-24 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-24 19:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -14.65%E -5.59%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-24 19:11 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.30%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-24 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -11.27%E -5.01%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.27%E -5.01%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -17.18%E -8.18%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.88% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.86% | 0.5% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 0.6% | 2026-10-24 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25% | 1.2% | 2026-10-24 19:25 |