Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vasco da Gama v Remo

2026-10-10 20:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vasco da Gama (Local)

Prediction 68.48%1.46fair odd
EV -6.87%
Edge -5.05%
Kelly -19.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.48%68.48%68.48%70.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.341.341.3675.76%74.91%74.63%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Remo (Visit)

Prediction 12.14%8.23fair odd
EV +9.29%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.108%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.70%12.14%12.14%12.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.507.938.009.0013.33%12.61%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.38%5.16fair odd
EV +0.765%
Edge +0.147%
Kelly +0.182%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.51%19.38%19.38%19.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.704.864.905.2021.28%20.59%20.41%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vasco da Gama (Local): 68.48%; Remo (Visit): 12.14%; Draw: 19.38%. For Remo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.23. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.00, producing a positive expected value of +9.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.79%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +9.29%E +1.03%K +1.16%G +0.108%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.51%EV +0.765%E +0.147%K +0.182%G +0.001%3.9%2026-09-22 09:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.79%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +9.29%E +1.03%K +1.16%G +0.108%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.51%EV +0.765%E +0.147%K +0.182%G +0.001%3.9%2026-09-22 09:19
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -8.24%E -6.15%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.85%E -0.356%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 09:18
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -8.24%E -6.15%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.85%E -0.356%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 09:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -8.24%E -6.15%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.85%E -0.356%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 09:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -8.24%E -6.15%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.85%E -0.356%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 09:19
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -8.24%E -6.15%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.85%E -0.356%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 09:19
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.40%EV -8.24%E -6.15%K -24.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.85%E -0.356%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.05%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 09:20
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.48%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -8.92%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 09:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -9.61%E -7.28%K -30.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -8.92%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-22 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -9.61%E -7.28%K -30.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -8.92%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-22 09:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -9.61%E -7.28%K -30.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -8.92%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-22 09:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -9.61%E -7.28%K -30.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -8.92%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-22 09:19
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -9.61%E -7.28%K -30.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -8.92%E -1.19%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -8.92%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-22 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.