L’École des cotes

Vasco da Gama v Fluminense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vasco da Gama (Local)

Prévision 26.48%3.78cote équitable
EV +2.75%
Avantage +0.710%
Kelly +0.956%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.98%26.44%26.54%27.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.533.503.8831.25%28.30%28.57%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fluminense (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.65%2.29cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.43%43.68%43.57%45.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.112.102.2352.63%47.46%47.62%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.87%3.35cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.437%
Kelly -0.627%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.97%29.88%29.89%31.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.103.103.3036.36%32.23%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.88I 25.77%NM 24.98%EV +2.75%E +0.710%K +0.956%G +0.026%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.57%EV -5.32%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 00:25
LowVig.ag3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV +0.370%E +0.098%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.48%EV -6.59%E -3.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -6.52%E -2.08%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV +0.370%E +0.098%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.48%EV -6.59%E -3.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -6.52%E -2.08%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -0.689%E -0.184%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.29%EV -7.46%E -3.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -1.44%E -0.437%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:15
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -0.689%E -0.184%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.29%EV -7.46%E -3.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -1.44%E -0.437%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:15
GTbets3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -2.01%E -0.544%K -0.746%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.65%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.39%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:25
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:00
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:15
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:10
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:15
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:15
Pinnacle3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -3.60%E -0.990%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.38%EV -2.66%E -1.19%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.04%EV -3.83%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:20
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 18:40
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:00
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:10
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:10
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:25
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -10.08%E -4.89%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.95%E -5.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 00:10
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 22:40
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.36%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 00:25
BetAnything3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 00:25
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -11.83%E -5.85%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:15
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 00:15
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:05
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:05
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:05
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.28%E -2.43%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -6.82%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 00:21
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:05
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:25
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:25
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:25
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.39%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-19 00:25
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.39%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-19 00:25
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.39%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.39%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 21:30
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -13.57%E -6.85%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -13.57%E -6.85%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -7.84%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.82%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:15
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 00:05
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.91%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 00:15
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.91%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 00:15
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 00:05
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 00:15
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 00:05
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.39%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-19 00:09
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.75%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.96%EV -11.00%E -3.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 00:20
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 00:20
Parions Sport (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.20%EV -13.57%E -6.85%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-19 00:20
Unibet (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 26.36%EV -12.08%E -3.64%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.98%EV -13.13%E -6.60%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-19 00:25
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -15.25%E -4.77%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-19 00:20
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 25.99%EV -15.25%E -4.77%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.77%EV -17.06%E -8.98%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.24%EV -17.87%E -6.50%K -10.21%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-19 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25%0.2%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25%0.2%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25%0.2%2026-03-19 00:25
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-19 00:20
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-03-19 00:25
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-03-19 00:00