La escuela de los momios

Vasco da Gama v Fluminense

Inicio: 2026-03-19 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vasco da Gama (Local)

Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV +2.75%
Ventaja +0.710%
Kelly +0.956%
Crecimiento +0.026%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.98%26.44%26.54%27.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.533.503.8831.25%28.30%28.57%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fluminense (Visitante)

Predicción 43.65%2.29momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.43%43.68%43.57%45.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.112.102.2352.63%47.46%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.87%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.437%
Kelly -0.627%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.97%29.88%29.89%31.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.103.103.3036.36%32.23%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.88I 25.77%NM 24.98%EV +2.75%E +0.710%K +0.956%G +0.026%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.45%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.57%EV -5.32%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 00:25
LowVig.ag3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV +0.370%E +0.098%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.48%EV -6.59%E -3.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -6.52%E -2.08%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV +0.370%E +0.098%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.48%EV -6.59%E -3.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -6.52%E -2.08%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 23:40
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -0.689%E -0.184%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.29%EV -7.46%E -3.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -1.44%E -0.437%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:15
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -0.689%E -0.184%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.29%EV -7.46%E -3.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -1.44%E -0.437%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 00:15
GTbets3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -2.01%E -0.544%K -0.746%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.65%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.39%EV -5.62%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:25
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 23:00
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:15
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:10
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:15
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:10
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -3.34%E -0.914%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 00:15
Pinnacle3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV -3.60%E -0.990%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.38%EV -2.66%E -1.19%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.04%EV -3.83%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 00:20
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 18:40
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 00:00
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:10
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:10
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 00:25
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.13%EV -10.08%E -4.89%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -10.95%E -5.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 00:10
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 22:40
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.36%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 00:25
BetAnything3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 00:25
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -11.83%E -5.85%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 00:15
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-19 00:15
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:05
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:05
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 00:05
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -5.28%E -2.43%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -6.82%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 00:21
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:05
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:25
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:25
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.43%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 00:25
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.39%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-19 00:25
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.39%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-19 00:25
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.39%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.39%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-19 00:25
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 21:30
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -13.57%E -6.85%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -13.57%E -6.85%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-19 00:10
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -7.84%E -2.25%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.82%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 00:15
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 00:05
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.91%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 00:15
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.84%E -2.22%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.91%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 00:15
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.97%E -1.80%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 00:05
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.15%E -2.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 00:15
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 00:05
Fliff3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-19 00:25
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.39%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-19 00:09
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.75%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -10.52%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.96%EV -11.00%E -3.69%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 00:20
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.33%E -3.97%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 00:20
Parions Sport (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.20%EV -13.57%E -6.85%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-19 00:20
Unibet (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 26.36%EV -12.08%E -3.64%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.98%EV -13.13%E -6.60%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-19 00:25
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -15.25%E -4.77%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -12.70%E -6.35%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-19 00:20
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 25.99%EV -15.25%E -4.77%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.77%EV -17.06%E -8.98%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.24%EV -17.87%E -6.50%K -10.21%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-19 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25%0.2%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25%0.2%2026-03-19 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.25%0.2%2026-03-19 00:25
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.84%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%0.5%2026-03-19 00:20
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.03%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-03-19 00:25
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-03-19 00:00