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Vasco da Gama v Coritiba

2026-09-19 23:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vasco da Gama (Local)

Prediction 49.52%2.02fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.73%49.46%49.54%50.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.851.851.9557.80%53.96%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coritiba (Visit)

Prediction 23.02%4.34fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.519%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.45%23.08%23.08%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.933.904.2728.57%25.44%25.64%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.46%3.64fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.791%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.25%27.47%27.39%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.303.5432.26%30.21%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vasco da Gama (Local): 49.52%; Coritiba (Visit): 23.02%; Draw: 27.46%. For Coritiba (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.27, with an expected value of -1.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -3.44%E -1.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.90%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 19:09
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.00%EV -4.92%E -2.56%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.90%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 19:15
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 19:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -5.42%E -2.84%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 19:10
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.46%EV -5.91%E -3.11%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.45%EV -1.70%E -0.397%K -0.519%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.08%EV -2.80%E -0.791%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 19:45
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 20:00
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -6.90%E -3.67%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -8.39%E -4.53%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -4.46%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.39%E -4.53%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -8.39%E -4.53%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.39%EV -7.19%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 18:29
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.39%E -4.53%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.91%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -8.39%E -4.53%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -13.67%E -3.64%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.38%E -5.12%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.90%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 19:10
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -10.86%E -6.04%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -19.42%E -5.55%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-07 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.93%EV -12.84%E -7.30%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -13.67%E -3.64%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.49%EV -13.83%E -7.95%K -18.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.59%EV -15.97%E -4.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.91%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-07 18:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.83%EV -14.33%E -8.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.81%EV -12.98%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.51%E -4.29%K -6.28%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-07 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.67%EV -14.33%E -8.28%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.52%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-07 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 46.18%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.76%17.1%2026-09-08 01:40