L’École des cotes

Vasco da Gama v Bragantino-SP

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 23:30 UTC

Score final : Vasco da Gama 0–3 Bragantino-SP

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Vasco da Gama (Local)

Prévision 44.85%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.57%44.98%44.86%47.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.892.042.052.1652.91%49.00%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bragantino-SP (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.95%3.71cote équitable
EV +6.46%
Avantage +1.64%
Kelly +2.19%
Croissance +0.142%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%26.79%26.93%28.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.543.503.9531.75%28.24%28.57%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.19%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.378%
Kelly -0.530%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.10%28.23%28.21%30.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.303.303.5035.71%30.33%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -8.50%E -4.16%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.46%E +1.64%K +2.19%G +0.142%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV -1.32%E -0.378%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 22:00
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -8.50%E -4.16%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.46%E +1.64%K +2.19%G +0.142%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV -1.32%E -0.378%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 22:00
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -11.64%E -5.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 23:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.29%E -5.15%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 23:00
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:00
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:00
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:00
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -12.53%E -6.43%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV +1.07%E +0.286%K +0.389%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 23:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV +1.07%E +0.286%K +0.389%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 22:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.29%E -5.15%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.277%E -0.075%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 23:00
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -14.33%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -0.277%E -0.075%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 23:00
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -14.33%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -0.277%E -0.075%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 23:00
Coolbet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.62%E -0.445%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 23:20
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -15.22%E -8.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -1.62%E -0.445%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -15.22%E -8.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -1.62%E -0.445%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 23:00
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.77%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -2.70%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 23:20
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.46%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 23:20
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.46%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 23:20
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.46%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 23:19
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.46%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.64%E -5.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -12.53%E -6.43%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 23:00
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.51%E -0.981%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.80%EV -6.12%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 23:20
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.11%EV -9.39%E -4.65%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.16%EV -4.05%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.72%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 23:20
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 23:20
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 23:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 23:10
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 23:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 23:08
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.53%E -6.43%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 23:00
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -8.65%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 23:20
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 23:10
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 44.42%EV -5.36%E -2.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:20
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 23:19
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:10
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 23:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 23:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 23:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 23:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.29%E -5.15%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.57%EV -14.33%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.04%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.40%EV -21.06%E -7.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-24 22:04
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 23:19
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.06%EV -11.19%E -5.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.88%EV -10.52%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.06%EV -10.35%E -3.25%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 23:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 23:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 23:19
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 23:19
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -10.29%E -5.15%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.80%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-24 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -15.10%E -4.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-05-24 23:20
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.99%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.85%1.9%2026-05-24 23:20
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%2.1%2026-05-24 23:10