La escuela de los momios

Vasco da Gama v Bragantino-SP

Inicio: 2026-05-24 23:30 UTC

Final: Vasco da Gama 0–3 Bragantino-SP

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vasco da Gama (Local)

Predicción 44.85%2.23momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.57%44.98%44.86%47.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.892.042.052.1652.91%49.00%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bragantino-SP (Visitante)

Predicción 26.95%3.71momio equitativo
EV +6.46%
Ventaja +1.64%
Kelly +2.19%
Crecimiento +0.142%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%26.79%26.93%28.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.543.503.9531.75%28.24%28.57%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.19%3.55momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.378%
Kelly -0.530%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.10%28.23%28.21%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.303.303.5035.71%30.33%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -8.50%E -4.16%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.46%E +1.64%K +2.19%G +0.142%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV -1.32%E -0.378%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 22:00
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.63%EV -8.50%E -4.16%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV +6.46%E +1.64%K +2.19%G +0.142%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%EV -1.32%E -0.378%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 22:00
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.67%EV -11.64%E -5.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 23:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.29%E -5.15%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 23:00
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:00
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:00
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:00
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -12.53%E -6.43%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +2.42%E +0.637%K +0.864%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV +1.07%E +0.286%K +0.389%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 23:00
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV +1.07%E +0.286%K +0.389%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 22:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -10.29%E -5.15%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.277%E -0.075%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 23:00
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -14.33%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -0.277%E -0.075%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 23:00
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -14.33%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -0.277%E -0.075%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 23:00
Coolbet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.62%E -0.445%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 23:20
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -15.22%E -8.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -1.62%E -0.445%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -15.22%E -8.06%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -1.62%E -0.445%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 23:00
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.77%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -2.70%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 23:20
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.46%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 23:20
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.46%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 23:20
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.46%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 23:19
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.46%E -2.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.64%E -5.91%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -12.53%E -6.43%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -2.97%E -0.825%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 23:00
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -3.11%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.51%E -0.981%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.80%EV -6.12%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 23:20
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.11%EV -9.39%E -4.65%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.16%EV -4.05%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.72%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 23:20
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 23:20
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 23:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 23:10
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 23:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 23:08
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.53%E -6.43%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 23:00
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.21%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -8.65%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 23:20
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 23:10
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 44.42%EV -5.36%E -2.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:20
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 23:19
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 23:10
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -3.56%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 23:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 23:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 23:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 23:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 23:10
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.29%E -5.15%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.57%EV -14.33%E -7.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.04%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.40%EV -21.06%E -7.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-24 22:04
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.37%E -2.58%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 23:19
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.91%E -2.32%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.71%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.06%EV -11.19%E -5.65%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.88%EV -10.52%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.06%EV -10.35%E -3.25%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 23:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.81%E -2.76%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 23:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 23:19
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.05%E -3.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.96%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 23:19
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -10.29%E -5.15%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.55%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.80%EV -12.98%E -6.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -13.75%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -12.60%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-24 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -12.08%E -6.17%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -15.10%E -4.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -9.78%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-05-24 23:10
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.8%2026-05-24 23:20
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.99%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.85%1.9%2026-05-24 23:20
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%2.1%2026-05-24 23:10