La escuela de los momios

Vasco da Gama v Atletico Mineiro

Inicio: 2026-05-31 19:00 UTC

Final: Vasco da Gama 0–1 Atletico Mineiro

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vasco da Gama (Local)

Predicción 48.67%2.05momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.832%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.33%48.59%48.68%49.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.921.932.0254.64%52.00%51.81%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atletico Mineiro (Visitante)

Predicción 23.97%4.17momio equitativo
EV +1.16%
Ventaja +0.276%
Kelly +0.361%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.55%24.02%23.90%25.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.873.904.2228.99%25.86%25.64%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.35%3.66momio equitativo
EV -0.976%
Ventaja -0.269%
Kelly -0.372%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.36%27.39%27.42%29.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.373.403.6234.72%29.65%29.41%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.30%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.55%EV +1.16%E +0.276%K +0.361%G +0.004%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV -7.54%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 18:49
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.07%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -0.514%E -0.124%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.07%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -0.514%E -0.124%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 18:30
BetAnything1.94I 51.55%NM 49.07%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.94%EV -0.514%E -0.124%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.53%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.50%EV -1.47%E -0.358%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.98%EV -2.07%E -0.578%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-31 18:40
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.68%E -0.832%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -1.71%E -0.418%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-31 18:30
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.68%E -0.832%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -1.71%E -0.418%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-31 18:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 18:50
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 18:30
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 18:50
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 18:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 18:30
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.05%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 18:30
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 18:40
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 18:30
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 18:30
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 18:40
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.55%E -3.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 18:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -6.55%E -3.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 18:50
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -5.55%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -6.45%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 18:50
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 18:50
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 18:50
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 18:50
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 18:48
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.55%E -3.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.98%E -4.80%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 18:30
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.51%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.10%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 18:30
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -7.71%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 18:30
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -7.71%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -11.10%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 18:40
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -7.71%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -11.10%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 18:40
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.98%EV -1.68%E -0.832%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.24%EV -7.95%E -2.07%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.78%EV -0.976%E -0.269%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 18:50
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.83%EV -3.63%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.79%EV -8.43%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.37%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 06:51
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.26%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 18:30
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -6.55%E -3.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 18:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 18:30
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.98%E -4.80%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-31 18:40
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -8.98%E -4.80%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -12.46%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-31 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -8.98%E -4.80%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -12.46%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-31 18:30
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -5.57%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 18:50
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 18:10
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 18:30
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.98%E -4.80%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.45%EV -9.47%E -5.09%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.49%EV -11.78%E -3.20%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.06%EV -8.91%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-31 18:37
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 18:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-31 18:39
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -13.70%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.46%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-31 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -10.93%E -5.97%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -16.10%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -21.22%E -7.37%K -11.29%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-31 18:39
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -10.44%E -5.68%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -17.30%E -5.01%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.73%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-31 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35%0.2%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35%0.2%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.43%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35%0.2%2026-05-31 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-05-31 18:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-05-31 18:40
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-31 18:30