Language:English
Sao Paulo v Santos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sao Paulo (Local)
Prediction 44.28%2.26fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.47%44.30%47.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.072.102.2051.81%48.30%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santos (Visit)
Prediction 27.06%3.70fair odd
EV +6.87%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +2.33%
Growth +0.160%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.29%26.94%27.00%28.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.513.503.9531.75%28.51%28.57%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.66%3.49fair odd
EV +0.324%
Edge +0.093%
Kelly +0.130%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.59%28.71%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.263.303.5032.79%30.68%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sao Paulo (Local): 44.28%; Santos (Visit): 27.06%; Draw: 28.66%. For Santos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.49%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV +6.87%E +1.74%K +2.33%G +0.160% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.49%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV +6.87%E +1.74%K +2.33%G +0.160% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV +2.81%E +0.739%K +1.00%G +0.028% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -12.77%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV +2.81%E +0.739%K +1.00%G +0.028% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -12.77%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV +2.81%E +0.739%K +1.00%G +0.028% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -12.77%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV +2.81%E +0.739%K +1.00%G +0.028% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -12.77%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV +2.81%E +0.739%K +1.00%G +0.028% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -12.77%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV +2.81%E +0.739%K +1.00%G +0.028% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.48%EV -1.25%E -0.342%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -3.69%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.48%EV -1.25%E -0.342%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -3.69%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -4.35%E -2.02%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.48%EV -1.25%E -0.342%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -3.69%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -14.10%E -7.27%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -1.25%E -0.342%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -14.10%E -7.27%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -1.25%E -0.342%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -14.10%E -7.27%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -1.25%E -0.342%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.91%EV -14.54%E -7.53%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -1.25%E -0.342%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.97%EV -2.58%E -1.17%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.80%EV -2.33%E -0.646%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.23%EV -5.12%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -12.77%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-02 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -14.54%E -7.53%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -2.60%E -0.723%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-02 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.20%EV -3.91%E -1.80%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.09%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.71%EV -4.26%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.51%EV -5.24%E -2.45%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.14%EV -5.04%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.35%EV -3.69%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV +0.324%E +0.093%K +0.130%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.67%EV -6.12%E -2.89%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 22:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.27%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.87%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.87%EV -7.70%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.12%E -2.89%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -3.47%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.25%EV -3.47%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.80%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 22:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 22:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.12%E -2.89%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.44%E -5.72%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-02 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.44%E -5.72%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.22%EV -3.47%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.88%EV -8.55%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.90%EV -6.56%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.12%E -2.89%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-02 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-02 22:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.44%E -5.72%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-02 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.42%EV -12.77%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.49%EV -10.55%E -5.22%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.71%EV -14.24%E -4.49%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-02 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.38% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.80% | 2.5% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96% | 3.1% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |