默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sao Paulo v Internacional

2026-09-20 00:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sao Paulo (主队)

预测 47.82%2.09公平赔率
EV -3.40%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -3.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
45.56%47.81%48.03%49.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.761.911.922.0256.82%52.32%52.08%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Internacional (客队)

预测 24.77%4.04公平赔率
EV -2.63%
优势 -0.670%
Kelly -0.899%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.93

博彩公司预测分布
23.71%24.69%24.65%26.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.723.753.9330.30%26.90%26.67%25.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.40%3.65公平赔率
EV -3.55%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.52

博彩公司预测分布
26.67%27.50%27.33%28.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.313.303.5232.26%30.19%30.30%28.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Sao Paulo (主队):47.82%;Internacional (客队):24.77%;平局:27.40%。 对于“Internacional (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.04。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.93,期望值为-2.63%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.42%EV -3.40%E -1.68%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 18:49
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 18:50
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.35%E -2.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 18:53
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.27%EV -4.83%E -2.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV -2.63%E -0.670%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 19:05
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 20:00
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 19:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.32%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -5.36%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -6.29%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 20:55
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 22:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -18.24%E -5.53%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-07 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -9.13%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 20:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -9.61%E -5.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -3.38%E -0.866%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.93%EV -9.61%E -5.09%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -3.38%E -0.866%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.36%EV -7.38%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 18:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -13.92%E -7.73%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-07 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.43%EV -14.87%E -8.36%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.94%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.48%EV -15.35%E -8.67%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-07 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.93%EV -15.83%E -8.99%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 23.73%EV -10.07%E -2.77%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.34%EV -13.69%E -4.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-07 18:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 44.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.41%15.0%2026-09-08 02:45