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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sao Paulo v Fluminense

2026-11-20 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sao Paulo (主队)

预测 40.85%2.45公平赔率
EV -1.95%
优势 -0.814%
Kelly -1.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.22%40.73%40.92%43.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.892.212.252.4052.91%45.22%44.44%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fluminense (客队)

预测 29.76%3.36公平赔率
EV -1.78%
优势 -0.541%
Kelly -0.776%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
27.61%29.80%29.68%31.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.113.123.3034.48%32.10%32.05%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.39%3.40公平赔率
EV -3.03%
优势 -0.918%
Kelly -1.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.34%29.47%29.40%30.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.123.153.3034.48%32.10%31.75%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Sao Paulo (主队)：40.85%；Fluminense (客队)：29.76%；平局：29.39%。 对于“Fluminense (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.36。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.30，期望值为-1.78%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -1.95%E -0.814%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 20:56
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.22%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.78%EV -7.44%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.01%EV -3.03%E -0.918%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-07 21:25
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -4.00%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-07 20:59
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -4.00%E -1.70%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-07 20:59
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.02%EV -4.41%E -1.88%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.72%EV -3.87%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.26%EV -3.62%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 20:24
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.50%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-07 20:15
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.04%E -2.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-07 20:23
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -7.27%E -3.20%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.80%EV -7.14%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.24%EV -6.55%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-07 20:14
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -1.78%E -0.541%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-07 20:24
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-07 20:45
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-07 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-07 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.08%E -3.59%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-07 20:45
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-07 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.12%E -4.60%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-07 20:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -1.78%E -0.541%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-07 20:14
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-07 20:15
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -3.27%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-07 20:15
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -12.17%E -5.66%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -13.69%E -4.72%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -14.78%E -5.10%K -7.78%G +0.000%15.5%2026-11-07 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -16.25%E -7.93%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -9.22%E -3.02%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-07 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -18.30%E -9.15%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%17.2%2026-11-07 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.42%EV -19.11%E -9.65%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 27.92%EV -8.33%E -2.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.66%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-07 20:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 43.83%EV -22.79%E -12.06%K -25.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.61%EV -10.71%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.56%EV -14.78%E -5.10%K -7.78%G +0.000%20.7%2026-11-07 20:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.36%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%4.1%2026-11-08 14:35

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