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Sao Paulo v Corinthians

2026-11-05 00:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sao Paulo (Local)

Prediction 45.48%2.20fair odd
EV -0.852%
Edge -0.391%
Kelly -0.722%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.82%45.24%45.80%47.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.812.042.052.1855.25%49.09%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Corinthians (Visit)

Prediction 24.78%4.04fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -0.860%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.01%24.94%24.77%25.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.653.9029.41%27.49%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.74%3.36fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.937%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.80%29.82%29.43%30.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.063.053.2634.48%32.63%32.79%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sao Paulo (Local): 45.48%; Corinthians (Visit): 24.78%; Draw: 29.74%. For Sao Paulo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.18, with an expected value of -0.852%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.85%EV -0.852%E -0.391%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07%EV -3.35%E -0.860%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-26 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.85%EV -0.852%E -0.391%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.07%EV -3.35%E -0.860%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.08%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-26 01:00
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.73%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.81%EV -4.10%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.46%EV -3.05%E -0.937%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 19:33
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.55%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.55%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 01:01
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.55%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.55%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 01:00
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.55%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 00:59
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -5.40%E -2.60%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -9.30%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 01:00
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -5.85%E -2.83%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -12.03%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-26 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.95%EV -6.31%E -3.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 00:35
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.95%EV -6.31%E -3.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.95%EV -6.31%E -3.06%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 00:35
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.84%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.84%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 20:44
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.84%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 19:35
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 19:32
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 19:32
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 19:32
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 19:32
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-26 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.79%EV -7.67%E -3.78%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -7.07%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.42%EV -6.03%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 19:32
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.71%EV -7.67%E -3.78%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -7.07%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.55%EV -6.62%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 19:32
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.82%EV -8.13%E -4.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -14.50%E -4.20%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.52%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-26 01:01
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.55%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 19:32
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.31%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 19:32
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -10.79%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 20:44
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -15.74%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-25 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -12.68%E -6.60%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -14.50%E -4.20%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -9.30%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-25 19:32
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.62%EV -13.59%E -7.15%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.49%EV -15.74%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-25 19:32
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.83%EV -14.50%E -7.71%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 24.76%EV -13.76%E -3.95%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.41%EV -12.87%E -4.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-25 19:32
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 47.09%EV -17.68%E -9.77%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.01%EV -12.03%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.89%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%17.3%2026-10-25 19:32
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.06I 48.54%NM 45.32%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%7.1%2026-10-25 22:10
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 45.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%16.3%2026-10-26 00:35