Language:English
Sao Paulo v Atletico Mineiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sao Paulo (Local)
Prediction 43.84%2.28fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.63%43.81%43.76%45.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.38%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Mineiro (Visit)
Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.414%
Kelly +0.561%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.02%26.54%26.78%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.8131.25%28.54%28.57%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.50%3.39fair odd
EV -0.280%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.118%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.23%29.65%29.46%31.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.143.153.3835.09%31.80%31.75%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sao Paulo (Local): 43.84%; Atletico Mineiro (Visit): 26.66%; Draw: 29.50%. For Atletico Mineiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.32%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.02%EV +1.58%E +0.414%K +0.561%G +0.009% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.66%EV -11.20%E -3.72%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.01%EV -6.19%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV +1.31%E +0.344%K +0.468%G +0.006% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.01%EV -6.19%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%EV +1.31%E +0.344%K +0.468%G +0.006% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.10%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.27%EV +0.509%E +0.135%K +0.184%G +0.001% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.63%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.10%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.27%EV +0.509%E +0.135%K +0.184%G +0.001% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.63%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.10%EV -5.31%E -2.46%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.27%EV +0.509%E +0.135%K +0.184%G +0.001% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.63%EV -8.25%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.29%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -2.69%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.41%EV -0.280%E -0.083%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 02:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.69%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.69%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.69%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.69%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.69%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.69%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 03:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 21:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 08:16 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.25%EV -9.70%E -4.71%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -5.62%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -3.23%E -0.985%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 02:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.63%E -3.11%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.85%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.91%EV -3.82%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -4.44%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 04:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 20:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 21:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 21:43 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -9.70%E -4.71%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.41%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 03:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.19%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.19%EV -10.57%E -5.18%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.44%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 04:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -15.92%E -5.58%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 08:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -12.33%E -6.16%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -12.33%E -6.16%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 07:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.08%EV -5.75%E -2.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -7.95%E -2.55%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 02:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 02:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 02:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 02:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.94%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 09:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 07:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-03 20:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-03 20:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -10.13%E -4.94%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -14.69%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -10.02%E -3.28%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 20:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.14% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.54% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |