Language:English
Santos v Remo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Santos (Local)
Prediction 61.91%1.62fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -7.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.43%61.91%61.76%63.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.481.501.5573.53%67.65%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Remo (Visit)
Prediction 15.14%6.61fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.246%
Kelly -0.290%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.25%15.22%15.16%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.806.006.5020.00%17.23%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.95%4.36fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.396%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.82%22.86%23.08%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.923.954.3029.41%25.51%25.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos (Local): 61.91%; Remo (Visit): 15.14%; Draw: 22.95%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.80%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.78%EV -1.90%E -0.293%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.42%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 00:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.14%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.16%EV -5.38%E -0.861%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 21:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.17%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.90%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -18.25%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -2.46%E -0.578%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 04:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -18.25%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -2.46%E -0.578%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 04:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -6.52%E -4.32%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -4.63%E -0.734%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -8.65%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 00:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -1.60%E -0.246%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -1.31%E -0.304%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.17%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -9.17%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.49%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 20:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -9.17%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.49%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -9.17%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.49%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -9.17%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.49%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -16.74%E -3.04%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.78%E -3.36%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -8.37%E -5.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -1.60%E -0.246%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -8.37%E -5.66%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.17%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -5.90%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.85%E -7.53%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.17%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-20 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -10.85%E -7.53%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.51%EV -19.76%E -3.73%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -11.64%E -3.02%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -10.85%E -7.53%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -24.31%E -4.86%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -17.37%E -4.83%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-22 21:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.43%EV -10.85%E -7.53%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -24.31%E -4.86%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -21.96%E -6.46%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-23 00:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.71%EV -11.47%E -8.02%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 14.58%EV -6.90%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -9.34%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 04:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.70%EV -12.71%E -9.01%K -30.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.85%EV -18.25%E -3.38%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.45%EV -16.23%E -4.45%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.11%EV -13.33%E -9.52%K -33.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.83%EV -24.31%E -4.86%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.06%EV -16.23%E -4.45%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.19%EV -15.80%E -11.62%K -43.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 15.70%EV -19.76%E -3.73%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.11%EV -17.37%E -4.83%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-22 21:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-03-22 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |