La scuola delle quote

Santos v Fluminense

Inizio: 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

Finale: Santos 2–3 Fluminense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Santos (Casa)

Previsione 42.05%2.38quota equa
EV +0.089%
Vantaggio +0.037%
Kelly +0.064%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.34%41.98%42.13%43.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.232.232.3848.78%44.88%44.84%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fluminense (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.65%3.49quota equa
EV +2.27%
Vantaggio +0.636%
Kelly +0.884%
Crescita +0.020%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.19%28.70%28.55%29.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.223.203.5734.72%31.05%31.25%28.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.30%3.41quota equa
EV -3.61%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.09%29.32%29.32%30.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.153.153.2935.71%31.74%31.75%30.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.13%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%EV +2.27%E +0.636%K +0.884%G +0.020%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -4.19%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.63%EV -4.54%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -0.879%E -0.254%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -3.61%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 18:50
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.60%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 18:55
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -6.64%E -2.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 18:49
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:55
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:55
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV +0.089%E +0.037%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV +0.089%E +0.037%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 18:55
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.69%EV -5.95%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.69%EV -5.95%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:25
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.69%EV -5.95%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 18:25
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 18:25
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -6.22%E -2.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:45
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:29
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:24
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:45
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:24
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.46%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 18:55
Coolbet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.71%EV -1.59%E -0.681%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.04%EV -6.04%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 13:50
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -7.06%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -6.04%E -1.84%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -6.83%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:50
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.70%EV -6.32%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.60%EV -7.12%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 18:45
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 18:45
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 14:55
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 15:10
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -3.28%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 18:55
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -4.12%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.71%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 18:40
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:40
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 18:55
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:29
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:30
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:23
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -4.12%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:45
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -11.69%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 18:45
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -11.69%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.05%E -3.27%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 18:44
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -5.38%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.18%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 18:55
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.25%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 18:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.78%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 10:05
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -6.22%E -2.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -10.64%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 18:55
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -6.22%E -2.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -10.64%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 18:55
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.11%E -4.04%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 18:25
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -12.62%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -10.64%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -12.62%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -10.64%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -13.79%E -6.73%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -14.06%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -10.64%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-19 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -11.69%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.49%E -6.07%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -17.96%E -6.42%K -9.98%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-19 18:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-04-19 18:55
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%1.9%2026-04-19 18:50
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72%2.0%2026-04-19 18:45