Language:English
Santos v Flamengo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Santos (Local)
Prediction 23.25%4.30fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.520%
Kelly +0.673%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.78%23.26%23.28%24.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.024.004.4027.78%24.91%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flamengo (Visit)
Prediction 51.40%1.95fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -4.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.20%51.36%51.41%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.8758.82%55.55%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.36%3.94fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.617%
Kelly -0.833%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%25.38%25.30%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.653.8529.41%27.51%27.40%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santos (Local): 23.25%; Flamengo (Visit): 51.40%; Draw: 25.36%. For Santos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV +2.29%E +0.520%K +0.673%G +0.015% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.66%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.56%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV +2.29%E +0.520%K +0.673%G +0.015% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.66%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.56%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 23:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.36%E -0.562%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.37%E -0.617%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -2.36%E -0.562%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.00%E -4.47%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.45%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 23:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -2.36%E -0.562%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.00%E -4.47%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.45%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -2.36%E -0.562%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.00%E -4.47%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.45%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -2.36%E -0.562%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.00%E -4.47%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.45%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -2.36%E -0.562%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.00%E -4.47%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.45%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -2.36%E -0.562%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -8.00%E -4.47%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.45%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 23:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.03%EV -3.06%E -0.733%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.36%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-25 02:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.52%E -0.849%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.76%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -3.99%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -3.64%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -3.99%E -0.966%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.96%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -3.64%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.08%EV -4.22%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.69%EV -5.43%E -2.95%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.23%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 01:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.64%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 23:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-24 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -9.03%E -5.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.64%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 23:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.76%EV -9.54%E -5.42%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-01 23:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -5.85%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.44%EV -6.97%E -3.85%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.58%EV -7.70%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-25 02:33 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-23 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 04:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 04:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 04:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.64%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -5.43%E -2.95%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 23:11 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-24 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -8.52%E -4.78%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-01 22:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-28 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.98%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-01 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-01 23:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-01 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -12.52%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-22 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -7.01%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -10.57%E -6.08%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -12.52%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-01 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.17%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.46%E -3.55%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.17%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -9.98%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -8.17%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 04:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.17%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.33%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.45%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 11:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.33%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.33%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-30 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.33%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.33%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-30 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.50%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.88%EV -9.03%E -5.10%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-01 04:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.66%E -3.07%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.66%E -3.07%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -11.66%E -3.07%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -12.63%E -7.43%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.25%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-04 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.98%E -3.78%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.72%EV -9.54%E -5.42%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -9.98%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-04 07:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -16.31%E -4.53%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.31%EV -10.57%E -6.08%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -12.52%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-04 07:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -16.31%E -4.53%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -11.09%E -6.41%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -13.79%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-25 00:16 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.56% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |