La scuola delle quote

Santos v Coritiba

Inizio: 2026-05-17 14:00 UTC

Finale: Santos 0–3 Coritiba

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Santos (Casa)

Previsione 55.18%1.81quota equa
EV -2.33%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -3.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%55.26%55.17%56.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.691.701.7762.50%59.23%58.82%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Coritiba (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.42%5.43quota equa
EV +3.69%
Vantaggio +0.655%
Kelly +0.796%
Crescita +0.029%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.68%18.34%18.43%19.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.055.005.6322.22%19.82%20.00%17.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.40%3.79quota equa
EV -2.05%
Vantaggio -0.552%
Kelly -0.756%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.42%26.40%26.40%28.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.503.503.7133.33%28.61%28.57%26.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.69%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 17.12%EV +3.69%E +0.655%K +0.796%G +0.029%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.19%EV -2.84%E -0.772%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 12:30
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.62%EV -8.95%E -5.42%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +3.13%E +0.559%K +0.681%G +0.021%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 05:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 12:29
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -0.550%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 12:28
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -0.550%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 12:30
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -0.550%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 12:30
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.16%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.95%EV -1.47%E -0.275%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.89%EV -2.05%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:30
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.02%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.79%EV -1.47%E -0.275%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 01:15
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.02%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.79%EV -1.47%E -0.275%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 01:15
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.01%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -9.70%E -2.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 12:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.95%E -5.42%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:44
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 05:36
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.31%E -0.625%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 12:29
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -3.63%E -0.995%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 12:30
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -3.63%E -0.995%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 12:30
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.58%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 12:30
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 12:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:30
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:30
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:30
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 05:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 12:30
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 12:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 12:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 12:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 12:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 12:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 12:30
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 12:30
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 19:55
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -10.05%E -6.17%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.39%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.78%EV -6.80%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 12:27
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 12:30
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 12:30
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 12:30
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -9.50%E -5.79%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -9.50%E -5.79%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 06:40
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.12%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.89%EV -11.71%E -7.32%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.89%EV -14.36%E -3.09%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 12:30
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -15.28%E -3.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -11.71%E -7.32%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 12:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -20.79%E -6.93%K -10.40%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-17 04:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-05-17 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-05-17 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-05-17 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-05-17 12:30
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.29%1.4%2026-05-17 12:30
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.90%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-05-17 12:30