L’École des cotes

Santos v Coritiba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 14:00 UTC

Score final : Santos 0–3 Coritiba

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Santos (Local)

Prévision 55.18%1.81cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%55.26%55.17%56.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.691.701.7762.50%59.23%58.82%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coritiba (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.42%5.43cote équitable
EV +3.69%
Avantage +0.655%
Kelly +0.796%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 5.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.68%18.34%18.43%19.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.055.005.6322.22%19.82%20.00%17.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.40%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.552%
Kelly -0.756%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.42%26.40%26.40%28.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.503.503.7133.33%28.61%28.57%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.69%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 17.12%EV +3.69%E +0.655%K +0.796%G +0.029%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.19%EV -2.84%E -0.772%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 12:30
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.62%EV -8.95%E -5.42%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +3.13%E +0.559%K +0.681%G +0.021%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 05:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.29%E +0.235%K +0.287%G +0.004%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 12:29
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -0.550%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 12:28
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -0.550%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 12:30
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 56.04%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -0.550%E -0.102%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 12:30
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.16%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.95%EV -1.47%E -0.275%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.89%EV -2.05%E -0.552%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:30
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.02%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.79%EV -1.47%E -0.275%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 01:15
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.02%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.79%EV -1.47%E -0.275%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 01:15
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.01%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -9.70%E -2.84%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 12:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.66%EV -8.95%E -5.42%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -2.39%E -0.451%K -0.556%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:44
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 05:36
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -3.31%E -0.631%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.31%E -0.625%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 12:29
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -3.63%E -0.995%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 12:30
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.65%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -3.63%E -0.995%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 12:30
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.58%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 12:30
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.23%E -0.814%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 12:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -4.54%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:30
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 54.83%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 12:30
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:30
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:30
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 05:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 12:30
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 12:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 12:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 12:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 12:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.85%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 12:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -7.92%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 12:30
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 12:30
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 19:55
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -10.05%E -6.17%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.39%EV -8.84%E -1.79%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.78%EV -6.80%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 12:27
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.30%E -4.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 12:30
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 12:30
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -9.76%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 12:30
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -9.50%E -5.79%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -9.50%E -5.79%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -11.60%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 12:30
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -12.52%E -2.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 06:40
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.12%EV -8.40%E -5.06%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -13.44%E -2.86%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.89%EV -11.71%E -7.32%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.89%EV -14.36%E -3.09%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 12:30
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -15.28%E -3.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.76%EV -11.71%E -7.32%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 12:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -10.61%E -6.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -17.13%E -3.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -20.79%E -6.93%K -10.40%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-17 04:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-05-17 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-05-17 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-05-17 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-05-17 12:30
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.99%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.29%1.4%2026-05-17 12:30
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.90%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-05-17 12:30