La scuola delle quote

Santos v Corinthians

Inizio: 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Santos (Casa)

Previsione 37.14%2.69quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.739%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.70%37.26%37.18%39.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.462.452.6444.44%40.61%40.82%37.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Corinthians (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.61%3.16quota equa
EV +2.74%
Vantaggio +0.844%
Kelly +1.22%
Crescita +0.033%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.60%31.53%31.61%32.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.972.953.2538.46%33.64%33.90%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.25%3.20quota equa
EV -0.010%
Vantaggio -0.003%
Kelly -0.005%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.33%31.21%31.22%32.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.973.003.2037.04%33.64%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV +2.74%E +0.844%K +1.22%G +0.033%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 18:55
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV +2.74%E +0.844%K +1.22%G +0.033%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 18:55
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%EV -4.92%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.24%EV +1.48%E +0.461%K +0.669%G +0.010%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 18:50
Coolbet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.49%EV -5.66%E -2.23%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 18:45
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -9.75%E -4.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 18:35
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -2.00%E -0.645%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 18:25
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -2.00%E -0.645%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.00%E -0.645%K -0.952%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.00%E -0.645%K -0.952%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -1.95%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -3.58%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 18:50
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -8.64%E -3.51%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.58%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:25
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -13.84%E -5.96%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.58%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.58%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.58%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:35
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:35
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:35
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 18:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 18:25
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:34
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:35
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 36.46%EV -4.55%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
BetUS2.57I 38.91%NM 36.46%EV -4.55%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:49
Unibet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.39%EV -15.69%E -6.91%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 18:54
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.70%EV -5.66%E -2.23%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.70%EV -7.06%E -2.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.60%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 18:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -4.18%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -7.69%E -2.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 18:35
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -4.18%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -7.69%E -2.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 18:35
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 18:55
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:35
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 18:29
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 18:40
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 18:35
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 18:30
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.46%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -9.27%E -3.23%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 18:50
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 18:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 18:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:35
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -13.06%E -4.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 18:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -13.06%E -4.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -16.86%E -6.41%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -15.63%E -5.79%K -9.20%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-15 18:35
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.05%EV -16.44%E -7.30%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.07%EV -17.81%E -6.85%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -15.63%E -5.79%K -9.20%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-15 18:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-03-15 18:35
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.1%2026-03-15 18:50
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%3.1%2026-03-15 18:45