La escuela de los momios

Santos v Corinthians

Inicio: 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Santos (Local)

Predicción 37.14%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.739%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.70%37.26%37.18%39.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.452.6444.44%40.61%40.82%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Corinthians (Visitante)

Predicción 31.61%3.16momio equitativo
EV +2.74%
Ventaja +0.844%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.60%31.53%31.61%32.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.972.953.2538.46%33.64%33.90%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.25%3.20momio equitativo
EV -0.010%
Ventaja -0.003%
Kelly -0.005%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.33%31.21%31.22%32.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.973.003.2037.04%33.64%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV +2.74%E +0.844%K +1.22%G +0.033%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 18:55
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV +2.74%E +0.844%K +1.22%G +0.033%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 18:55
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%EV -4.92%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.24%EV +1.48%E +0.461%K +0.669%G +0.010%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 18:50
Coolbet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.49%EV -5.66%E -2.23%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 18:45
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -9.75%E -4.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -0.418%E -0.133%K -0.194%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 18:35
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -2.00%E -0.645%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 18:25
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -2.00%E -0.645%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:25
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.00%E -0.645%K -0.952%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.00%E -0.645%K -0.952%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.61%EV -1.95%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -3.58%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 18:50
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -8.64%E -3.51%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.58%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:25
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -13.84%E -5.96%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.58%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.58%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -3.58%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:35
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:35
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:35
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 18:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.16%E -1.72%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 18:25
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:34
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:35
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 36.46%EV -4.55%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
BetUS2.57I 38.91%NM 36.46%EV -4.55%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:49
Unibet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.39%EV -15.69%E -6.91%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -6.74%E -2.28%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 18:54
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.70%EV -5.66%E -2.23%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.70%EV -7.06%E -2.40%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.60%EV -7.82%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 18:55
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -4.18%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -7.69%E -2.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 18:35
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -4.18%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -7.69%E -2.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -6.88%E -2.31%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 18:35
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -0.010%E -0.003%K -0.005%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 18:55
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:35
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.70%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 18:29
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 18:40
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 18:35
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 18:30
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.46%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -8.32%E -2.87%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -9.27%E -3.23%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -9.90%E -3.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 18:50
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 18:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 18:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.26%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -11.48%E -4.10%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:35
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -13.06%E -4.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -10.01%E -3.48%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 18:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.03%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -13.06%E -4.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.38%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -16.86%E -6.41%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -15.63%E -5.79%K -9.20%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-15 18:35
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.05%EV -16.44%E -7.30%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.07%EV -17.81%E -6.85%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -15.63%E -5.79%K -9.20%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-15 18:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-03-15 18:35
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.1%2026-03-15 18:50
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%3.1%2026-03-15 18:45