赔率学院

Santos v Chapecoense

开赛时间: 2026-07-25 21:30 UTC

最终结果: Santos 2–2 Chapecoense

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Santos (主队)

预测 69.66%1.44公平赔率
EV -3.17%
优势 -2.28%
Kelly -8.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.39

博彩公司预测分布
67.89%69.66%69.68%72.59%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.261.331.331.3979.37%75.24%75.19%71.94%MIN均值中位数MAX

Chapecoense (客队)

预测 11.21%8.92公平赔率
EV +12.13%
优势 +1.21%
Kelly +1.35%
增长率 +0.164%

假设最高赔率为 10.00

博彩公司预测分布
9.44%11.22%11.27%13.47%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
6.508.638.4110.0015.38%11.59%11.88%10.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 19.12%5.23公平赔率
EV +3.26%
优势 +0.604%
Kelly +0.741%
增长率 +0.024%

假设最高赔率为 5.40

博彩公司预测分布
17.93%19.13%19.05%20.90%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.454.944.915.4022.47%20.25%20.37%18.52%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 72.35%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%EV +12.13%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.164%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.95%EV +3.26%E +0.604%K +0.741%G +0.024%3.1%2026-07-25 21:05
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.35%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%EV +12.13%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.164%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.95%EV +3.26%E +0.604%K +0.741%G +0.024%3.1%2026-07-25 21:05
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +12.13%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.164%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.392%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +12.13%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.164%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.392%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 21:05
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +12.13%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.164%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.392%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +12.13%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.164%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.392%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 21:05
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +12.13%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.164%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.392%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 21:05
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +12.13%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.164%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.392%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 21:05
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.08%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV +6.53%E +0.687%K +0.768%G +0.050%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV -6.30%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.08%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV +6.53%E +0.687%K +0.768%G +0.050%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV -6.30%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 21:20
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 70.08%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.18%EV +6.53%E +0.687%K +0.768%G +0.050%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV -6.30%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 21:20
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +6.53%E +0.687%K +0.768%G +0.050%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -0.564%E -0.109%K -0.134%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 21:05
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.26%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV +6.53%E +0.687%K +0.768%G +0.050%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -0.564%E -0.109%K -0.134%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +6.53%E +0.687%K +0.768%G +0.050%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -2.48%E -0.486%K -0.604%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 21:05
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -12.22%E -9.70%K -47.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +6.53%E +0.687%K +0.768%G +0.050%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -4.39%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -12.22%E -9.70%K -47.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +6.53%E +0.687%K +0.768%G +0.050%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -4.39%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 21:00
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.22%EV -12.22%E -9.70%K -47.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +6.53%E +0.687%K +0.768%G +0.050%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -4.39%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 21:00
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.02%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%9.42I 10.62%NM 10.26%EV +5.63%E +0.598%K +0.668%G +0.038%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.72%EV -6.30%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 21:20
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.81%EV -3.17%E -2.28%K -8.12%G +0.000%9.27I 10.79%NM 10.47%EV +3.95%E +0.426%K +0.477%G +0.019%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-25 21:19
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.20%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.24%EV +3.72%E +0.402%K +0.451%G +0.017%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.57%EV -2.48%E -0.486%K -0.604%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 21:00
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.59%EV +0.919%E +0.102%K +0.115%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -8.21%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 21:20
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +0.919%E +0.102%K +0.115%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +0.392%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 21:00
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.04%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +0.919%E +0.102%K +0.115%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.17%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 21:04
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.10%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV -0.202%E -0.023%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -8.21%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 21:15
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 69.74%EV -5.26%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV -2.44%E -0.281%K -0.318%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -6.30%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:25
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.26%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -4.69%E -0.551%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -8.21%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 21:20
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.69%E -0.551%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.39%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 20:55
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.69%E -0.551%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.39%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 20:58
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -4.69%E -0.551%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.30%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -4.69%E -0.551%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.17%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 20:55
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -6.65%E -4.96%K -19.56%G +0.000%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.25%EV -6.59%E -0.792%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.79%EV -4.58%E -0.918%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 21:20
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.89%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -6.93%E -0.835%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.90%EV -14.91%E -3.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 21:15
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.89%EV -4.56%E -3.33%K -12.32%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -6.93%E -0.835%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.90%EV -14.91%E -3.35%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 21:15
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.02%EV -3.86%E -2.80%K -10.17%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.54%EV -7.49%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.44%EV -6.30%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 21:20
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -7.49%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -8.21%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 20:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.26%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV +0.392%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 20:50
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.26%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV +0.392%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV +0.392%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 20:50
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.26%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.39%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 21:10
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.39%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 21:00
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.39%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 20:59
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -5.26%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.17%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 21:10
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.26%E -3.86%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -13.95%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 21:15
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -6.30%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 21:20
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.39%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 21:00
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.04%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 21:05
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.04%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 21:05
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.04%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 21:05
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.04%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 21:09
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.35%E -5.52%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.04%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 20:55
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 21:00
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.17%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.79%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -10.29%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.17%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 21:15
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -13.10%E -1.69%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.564%E -0.109%K -0.134%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -5.95%E -4.41%K -17.01%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -13.10%E -1.69%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.564%E -0.109%K -0.134%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 20:50
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.68%EV -10.83%E -8.46%K -38.68%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.74%EV -14.78%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.58%EV -8.21%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.94%EV -8.74%E -6.67%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -15.90%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -9.17%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 21:04
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -9.44%E -7.26%K -31.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -15.90%E -2.12%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -13.95%E -3.10%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 21:00
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -8.04%E -6.09%K -25.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -21.51%E -3.07%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -4.39%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 20:59
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -10.13%E -7.85%K -34.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -27.11%E -4.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -10.13%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 20:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.10%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-25 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.10%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-25 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.10%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-25 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.10%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-07-25 21:25
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.29%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.81%1.0%2026-07-25 21:00
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.76%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%1.0%2026-07-25 21:05