Language:English
Remo v Vasco da Gama
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Remo (Local)
Prediction 33.15%3.02fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.366%
Kelly +0.545%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.86%33.16%33.04%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.862.883.0539.22%34.92%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vasco da Gama (Visit)
Prediction 38.39%2.60fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.823%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.48%38.34%38.50%40.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.5545.45%42.42%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.45%3.51fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%28.50%28.46%30.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.153.153.4035.71%31.79%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Remo (Local): 33.15%; Vasco da Gama (Visit): 38.39%; Draw: 28.45%. For Remo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.45%EV +1.12%E +0.366%K +0.545%G +0.006% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.48%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -0.540%E -0.180%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -0.540%E -0.180%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.63%E -3.62%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -0.540%E -0.180%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -10.55%E -4.53%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -0.540%E -0.180%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -10.55%E -4.53%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -0.540%E -0.180%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -10.55%E -4.53%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -0.540%E -0.180%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -10.55%E -4.53%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -0.540%E -0.180%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.74%EV -10.55%E -4.53%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -2.20%E -0.745%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.26%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -2.20%E -0.745%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -2.20%E -0.745%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -2.20%E -0.745%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -2.20%E -0.745%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.64%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -12.47%E -5.47%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -13.21%E -4.33%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -3.86%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -13.21%E -4.33%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.63%E -3.62%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -14.64%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.63%E -3.62%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -14.64%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -8.63%E -3.62%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -14.64%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -4.85%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -4.85%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.59%EV -14.39%E -6.45%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -14.64%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -8.63%E -3.62%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -8.63%E -3.62%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -17.48%E -6.03%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.94%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.67%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.39%EV -20.33%E -7.26%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -10.49%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -2.10%E -0.823%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -10.49%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -15.46%E -6.06%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -13.21%E -4.33%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.14% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.27% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.88% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |