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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Remo v Grêmio

Inizio: 2026-10-07 22:30 UTC

Finale: Remo 1–1 Grêmio

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Remo (Casa)

Previsione 42.38%2.36quota equa
EV -4.65%
Vantaggio -2.07%
Kelly -3.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.02%42.40%42.32%44.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.182.182.2548.78%45.90%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Grêmio (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.16%3.32quota equa
EV -1.98%
Vantaggio -0.608%
Kelly -0.878%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.16%30.15%30.25%31.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.39%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.46%3.64quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.317%
Kelly -0.439%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.55%27.45%27.43%28.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.61%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Remo (Casa): 42.38%; Grêmio (Trasferta): 30.16%; Pareggio: 27.46%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.64. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.60, con un valore atteso del -1.14%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.15%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -1.98%E -0.608%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -1.14%E -0.317%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-05 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.15%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -1.98%E -0.608%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -1.14%E -0.317%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-05 12:25
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.65%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.62%EV -2.28%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -4.99%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 07:54
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.34%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 05:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.28%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 00:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.28%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 00:44
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 02:17
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 06:55
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 06:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-05 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%EV -5.07%E -2.26%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 14:40
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.73%EV -6.34%E -2.87%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.42%EV -3.18%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.86%EV -6.91%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 00:10
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 09:35
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 02:10
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 22:35
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 02:19
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 02:20
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:25
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 00:08
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 00:09
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 06:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 08:09
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 08:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 08:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 08:09
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:24
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:24
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:24
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:25
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.61%EV -5.29%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-25 07:48
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -8.04%E -3.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -1.98%E -0.608%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -1.14%E -0.317%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 10:40
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-24 09:37
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 10:39
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 02:30
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-05 12:25
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 12:25
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-02 06:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -11.02%E -3.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-05 06:55
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -9.31%E -4.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.33%EV -9.74%E -4.57%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.76%EV -8.61%E -2.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.91%EV -11.30%E -3.50%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-05 06:54
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-22 00:09
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-05 10:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 22:30
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-04 23:27
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-05 06:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -13.13%E -6.40%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-05 06:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-10-05 13:30
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.25%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.38%2.9%2026-10-05 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%4.1%2026-10-05 15:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%4.1%2026-10-05 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%4.1%2026-10-05 15:01
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%4.5%2026-10-05 11:45