L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Remo v Grêmio

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-07 22:30 UTC

Score final : Remo 1–1 Grêmio

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Remo (Local)

Prévision 42.38%2.36cote équitable
EV -4.65%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -3.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.02%42.40%42.32%44.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.182.182.2548.78%45.90%45.87%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Grêmio (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.16%3.32cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.608%
Kelly -0.878%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.16%30.15%30.25%31.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.39%32.26%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.46%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.317%
Kelly -0.439%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.55%27.45%27.43%28.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.61%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Remo (Local) : 42.38% ; Grêmio (Visiteur) : 30.16% ; Match nul : 27.46%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.64. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.60, pour une espérance de -1.14% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.15%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -1.98%E -0.608%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -1.14%E -0.317%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-05 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.15%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -1.98%E -0.608%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -1.14%E -0.317%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-05 12:25
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.65%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.62%EV -2.28%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -4.99%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 07:54
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.34%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 05:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.28%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 00:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -5.59%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.28%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 00:44
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 02:17
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 06:55
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 06:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -4.65%E -2.07%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-05 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%EV -5.07%E -2.26%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 14:40
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.73%EV -6.34%E -2.87%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.42%EV -3.18%E -0.991%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.86%EV -6.91%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 00:10
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 09:35
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 02:10
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 22:35
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 02:19
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 02:20
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:25
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 00:08
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-02 00:09
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 06:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 08:09
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 08:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 08:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.77%E -3.08%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 08:09
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:24
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:24
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:24
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 12:25
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.61%EV -5.29%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-25 07:48
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -8.04%E -3.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -1.98%E -0.608%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -1.14%E -0.317%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 10:40
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-24 09:37
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 10:39
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 02:30
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-05 12:25
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 12:25
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-02 06:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -11.02%E -3.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-05 06:55
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -9.31%E -4.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.33%EV -9.74%E -4.57%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.76%EV -8.61%E -2.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.91%EV -11.30%E -3.50%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-05 06:54
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.39%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-22 00:09
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-05 10:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-02 22:30
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-04 23:27
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-05 06:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -13.13%E -6.40%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-05 06:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-10-05 13:30
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.25%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.38%2.9%2026-10-05 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%4.1%2026-10-05 15:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%4.1%2026-10-05 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 42.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%4.1%2026-10-05 15:01
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.74%4.5%2026-10-05 11:45