The School of Odds
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Palmeiras v Remo

2026-11-05 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Palmeiras (Local)

Prediction 79.37%1.26fair odd
EV -5.55%
Edge -4.67%
Kelly -29.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.86%79.25%79.37%80.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.161.171.1990.91%86.12%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Remo (Visit)

Prediction 6.38%15.67fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.073%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 15.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.17%6.66%6.38%9.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5013.3314.0015.5010.53%7.50%7.14%6.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.25%7.02fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.225%
Kelly +0.262%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 7.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.42%14.10%14.25%15.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.316.507.1318.18%15.84%15.38%14.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Palmeiras (Local): 79.37%; Remo (Visit): 6.38%; Draw: 14.25%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.02. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.13, producing a positive expected value of +1.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.41%EV -5.55%E -4.67%K -29.23%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -1.06%E -0.068%K -0.073%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.42%EV +1.60%E +0.225%K +0.262%G +0.004%4.5%2026-10-25 19:49
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -6.35%E -5.38%K -35.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.25%E -0.283%K -0.303%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -0.249%E -0.036%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -5.55%E -4.67%K -29.23%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -10.63%E -0.759%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -3.81%E -0.565%K -0.663%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 19:33
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.35%E -5.38%K -35.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -4.25%E -0.283%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -7.37%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 19:34
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.35%E -5.38%K -35.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -4.25%E -0.283%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -7.37%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 19:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.35%E -5.38%K -35.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -4.25%E -0.283%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -7.37%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.35%E -5.38%K -35.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -4.25%E -0.283%K -0.303%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -7.37%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.18%EV -6.35%E -5.38%K -35.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.44%EV -7.44%E -0.513%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.37%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 19:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.23%EV -7.14%E -6.10%K -42.01%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.51%EV -9.04%E -0.634%K -0.682%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.37%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 19:34
picklebet_au🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -7.94%E -6.84%K -49.59%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -10.63%E -0.759%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.37%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 19:34
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.14%E -6.10%K -42.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -23.40%E -1.95%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.37%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 19:34
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.44%EV -7.94%E -6.84%K -49.59%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -17.01%E -1.31%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -10.94%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 19:34
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.27%EV -9.52%E -8.35%K -68.02%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -17.01%E -1.31%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.46%EV -10.32%E -9.13%K -79.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -29.78%E -2.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.59%EV -14.50%E -2.42%K -2.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-25 19:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.94%EV -11.11%E -9.92%K -92.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.21%EV -32.97%E -3.14%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.86%EV -17.35%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-25 19:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 77.84%EV -12.70%E -11.54%K -126.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.14%EV -23.40%E -1.95%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.02%EV -18.77%E -3.29%K -3.99%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-25 19:35
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.86%EV -7.14%E -6.10%K -42.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -39.36%E -4.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.92%EV -21.62%E -3.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-25 19:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.98%EV -11.11%E -9.92%K -92.58%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.34%EV -24.99%E -2.13%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -21.62%E -3.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-25 19:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.33%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.23%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.44%3.8%2026-10-26 00:00