A Escola das Odds

Palmeiras v Mirassol

Início: 2026-03-15 21:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Palmeiras (Local)

Previsão 56.77%1.76odd justa
EV -4.05%
Vantagem -2.40%
Kelly -5.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.36%56.91%56.60%59.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.461.621.641.6968.49%61.70%60.98%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mirassol (Visitante)

Previsão 18.67%5.36odd justa
EV +10.52%
Vantagem +1.78%
Kelly +2.14%
Crescimento +0.225%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.37%18.53%18.82%19.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.405.105.005.9222.73%19.60%20.00%16.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.56%4.07odd justa
EV -1.77%
Vantagem -0.443%
Kelly -0.591%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.85%24.56%24.58%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.783.804.0031.25%26.42%26.32%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.39%EV -5.75%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.37%EV +10.52%E +1.78%K +2.14%G +0.225%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.24%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 21:20
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.14%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +7.34%E +1.28%K +1.55%G +0.114%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.77%E -0.443%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 21:00
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.14%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +7.34%E +1.28%K +1.55%G +0.114%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.77%E -0.443%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 21:00
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.74%EV -9.73%E -6.12%K -16.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV +4.54%E +0.811%K +0.988%G +0.045%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 21:24
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -9.16%E -5.73%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +2.68%E +0.487%K +0.595%G +0.016%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -3.00%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -9.16%E -5.73%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +2.68%E +0.487%K +0.595%G +0.016%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -3.00%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -9.16%E -5.73%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +2.68%E +0.487%K +0.595%G +0.016%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -3.00%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -9.16%E -5.73%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +2.68%E +0.487%K +0.595%G +0.016%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -3.00%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -9.16%E -5.73%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +2.68%E +0.487%K +0.595%G +0.016%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -3.00%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 21:00
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -9.16%E -5.73%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +2.68%E +0.487%K +0.595%G +0.016%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -3.00%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 21:00
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -8.59%E -5.34%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +2.68%E +0.487%K +0.595%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 21:25
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -10.86%E -6.92%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV +2.68%E +0.487%K +0.595%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 21:00
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -11.43%E -7.33%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV +0.811%E +0.150%K +0.184%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.46%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -11.43%E -7.33%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV +0.811%E +0.150%K +0.184%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.46%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 21:00
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.68%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 21:20
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.95%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 20:55
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 58.97%EV -12.57%E -8.16%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 21:10
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.10%EV -13.70%E -9.02%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.91%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 21:00
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.10%EV -13.70%E -9.02%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -1.06%E -0.199%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.91%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 21:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -1.77%E -0.443%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 21:00
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.74%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.00%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.74%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.00%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.74%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.00%E -0.759%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -8.59%E -5.34%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -1.99%E -0.379%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 21:25
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -9.16%E -5.73%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.92%E -0.562%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.14%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 21:05
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.04%EV -8.59%E -5.34%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.00%EV -3.11%E -0.599%K -0.742%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 21:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 56.99%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.26%EV -3.86%E -0.749%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 21:20
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 56.99%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.26%EV -3.86%E -0.749%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 21:25
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.45%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 21:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 21:05
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.46%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 21:05
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.75%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 21:10
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 21:25
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.91%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 21:04
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -10.86%E -6.92%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 21:25
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.86%E -6.92%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.05%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-15 21:20
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.14%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 21:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -9.14%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 21:20
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -6.19%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 21:20
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.13%EV -5.75%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.91%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 21:25
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.13%EV -10.86%E -6.92%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -8.52%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -10.37%E -2.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 21:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -9.46%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -9.14%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 21:05
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -7.91%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 21:25
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 21:05
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 21:05
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 21:05
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 21:05
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.47%EV -17.11%E -11.72%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.48%EV -10.39%E -2.16%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.05%EV -17.73%E -5.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-15 21:25
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.91%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 21:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.03%E -4.95%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.91%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 21:04
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.29%EV -9.73%E -6.12%K -16.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -11.32%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 21:04
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.03%E -4.95%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 21:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.49%EV -10.86%E -6.92%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.61%EV -12.00%E -7.74%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -12.82%E -3.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -10.86%E -6.92%K -19.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -21.42%E -6.69%K -9.74%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-15 21:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -10.30%E -6.52%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.86%E -4.06%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.59%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 21:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-03-15 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-03-15 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.8%2026-03-15 21:25
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.8%2026-03-15 21:25
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-03-15 21:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-03-15 21:25